Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Kris Dunn
LA Clippers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER38.62025–26
NBA RANK#278of 409
PH$10.9MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN27.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Sacramento Kings2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.0 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN27.4
PTS7.5
REB3.3
AST3.6
STL1.6
BLK0.2
3PM1.0
FG%47.9%
3P%37.1%
FT%75.9%
+/--0.5
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · LA Clippers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL22minutes
EXPECTED25.04pregame reference
DEVIATION-12.2%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G5 PTS · 2.6 REB · 2.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5.6 PTS · 2.8 REB · 3.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G4.3 PTS · 2.6 REB · 3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G5.2 PTS · 3.3 REB · 3.6 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS46.5%867/1865
2-POINT53.9%630/1169
3-POINT34.1%237/696
FREE THROW75.8%197/260
EFFECTIVE FG%52.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.8%
AST / TO2.82
PTS PER 3610.68rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 147 | 23.19 | 6.9 | 3.29 | 3.48 | 0.75 | 1.53 | 0.38 |
| Away | 157 | 24.82 | 7.35 | 3.51 | 3.83 | 0.81 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.6 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 | +0.0 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3.66 | high |
| minutes | 19 | 24 | 30 | 24.03 | low |
| points | 3 | 7 | 11 | 7.13 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.4 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES41.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS51.6%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs GSW | 22 | 25.04 | -12.2% | 4 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -12.0 | 40% |
| 2026-04-10 | @ POR | 27 | 25.41 | +6.3% | 5 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.0 | 83% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs OKC | 27 | 24.75 | +9.1% | 3 | 1/7 | 0/3 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -24.0 | 21% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ SAC | 27 | 24.46 | +10.4% | 13 | 5/6 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +16.0 | 101% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs SAS | 21 | 25.69 | -18.3% | 3 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -21.0 | 34% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs POR | 20 | 27.78 | -28% | 3 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -12.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ MIL | 32 | 26.33 | +21.5% | 10 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +10.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ IND | 21 | 27.36 | -23.2% | 2 | 1/6 | 1/4 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 | 17% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs TOR | 24 | 27.87 | -13.9% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +20.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ DAL | 32 | 27.76 | +15.3% | 4 | 2/6 | 2/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6.0 | 33% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/77 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/77 games
5+ ASSISTS36.4%28/77 games
2+ THREES28.6%22/77 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | LAC | 77 | 27.4 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 47.9% | 37.1% | 75.9% |
| 2024–25 | LAC | 73 | 24.2 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 43.8% | 33.2% | 68.2% |
| 2023–24 | UTA | 65 | 19.3 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 47.0% | 36.9% | 68.8% |
| 2022–23 | UTA | 22 | 25.8 | 13.2 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 53.7% | 47.2% | 77.4% |
| 2021–22 | POR | 14 | 24.0 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 43.1% | 9.1% | 94.4% |
| 2020–21 | ATL | 4 | 11.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 75.0% |
| 2019–20 | CHI | 49 | 25.1 | 7.4 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 45.3% | 25.9% | 75.0% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | LAC | 78 | 38.6 | #278 / 409 | 10.9M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | LAC | 80 | 32.8 | #367 / 422 | 7.7M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | UTA | 66 | 41.7 | #223 / 409 | 10.7M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | UTA | 22 | 56.2 | #44 / 408 | 16.4M | Core |
| 2019–20 | CHI | 49 | 35.0 | #292 / 385 | 7.8M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER38.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#278of 409 ranked
PH$10.9MRotation
SAMPLE78observed games
Ball security29
Box defence49
Creation61
Efficiency51
Rebounding17
Scoring10
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-25.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+19.1 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE-0.4 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY16-0.0 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
LAC
LA Clippers
EXPECTED MIN26.6
SCORING SHARE6.7%
CREATION SHARE14.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.