Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jalen Pickett
LA Clippers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER36.12025–26
NBA RANK#315of 409
PH$6.8MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Sacramento Kings2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN16.8
PTS5.3
REB2.4
AST2.4
STL0.3
BLK0.1
3PM1.0
FG%41.9%
3P%37.6%
FT%79.0%
+/--0.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · LA Clippers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL30minutes
EXPECTED0.75pregame reference
DEVIATION+3880.4%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G2.2 PTS · 0.6 REB · 1.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5.2 PTS · 1 REB · 1.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G1.1 PTS · 0.3 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.1 PTS · 3.2 REB · 3.3 AST
creation↓
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.3%182/430
2-POINT47.6%89/187
3-POINT38.3%93/243
FREE THROW77.4%24/31
EFFECTIVE FG%53.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.2%
AST / TO3.55
PTS PER 3611.23rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 67 | 12.37 | 3.61 | 1.73 | 2.15 | 0.63 | 0.25 | 0.06 |
| Away | 52 | 13.71 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1.81 | 0.98 | 0.37 | 0.12 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.3 | -1.0 | +0.2 | +0.3 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3.4 | 2 | high |
| minutes | 3 | 10 | 22 | 12.96 | high |
| points | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4.04 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.63 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.8% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.8% of games
10+ ASSISTS10.8%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ SAS | 30 | 0.75 | +3880.4% | 11 | 4/13 | 3/8 | 1/5 | 2/4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +11.0 | 37% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs GSW | 2 | 1.62 | +23.4% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | — |
| 2026-03-17 | vs PHI | 7 | 3.53 | +98.2% | 4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.0 | 106% |
| 2026-03-11 | vs HOU | 6 | 5.71 | +5.1% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-06 | vs NYK | 9 | 4.92 | +82.7% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-02 | @ UTA | 19 | 2.28 | +732.5% | 8 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 103% |
| 2026-03-01 | vs MIN | 6 | 1.35 | +345.5% | 4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| 2026-02-09 | vs CLE | 12 | 12.18 | -1.5% | 3 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 | 38% |
| 2026-02-07 | @ CHI | 8 | 13.96 | -42.7% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.0 | 0% |
| 2026-02-03 | @ DET | 10 | — | — | 0 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS2.2%1/45 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/45 games
5+ ASSISTS20.0%9/45 games
2+ THREES22.2%10/45 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DEN | 47 | 36.1 | #315 / 409 | 6.8M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | DEN | 57 | 35.7 | #335 / 422 | 6.6M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER36.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#315of 409 ranked
PH$6.8MDepth
SAMPLE47observed games
Ball security63
Box defence14
Creation70
Efficiency31
Rebounding23
Scoring21
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT+2.4 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-16.2 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
DEN
Denver Nuggets
EXPECTED MIN9.5
SCORING SHARE3.7%
CREATION SHARE7.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR57.9%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.