Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Kawhi Leonard
LA Clippers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER61.72025–26
NBA RANK#13of 409
PH$26.1MHigh Value · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN33.8governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Sacramento Kings2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.7 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN32.4
PTS27.6
REB6.4
AST3.7
STL1.9
BLK0.4
3PM2.5
FG%49.7%
3P%37.6%
FT%89.5%
+/-+4.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · LA Clippers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED31.47pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G14 PTS · 4.4 REB · 2.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G24.2 PTS · 6.8 REB · 2.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G19.2 PTS · 5.8 REB · 2.7 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G26.1 PTS · 6.5 REB · 3.1 AST
creation↓
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS50.1%2935/5852
2-POINT54.7%2239/4095
3-POINT39.6%696/1757
FREE THROW88.0%1541/1752
EFFECTIVE FG%56.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%61.2%
AST / TO2.03
PTS PER 3627.04rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 168 | 32.82 | 24.88 | 6.26 | 4.13 | 2.17 | 1.6 | 0.54 |
| Away | 157 | 33.63 | 25.02 | 6.62 | 4.05 | 2.11 | 1.69 | 0.59 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.8 | -0.1 | -0.4 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4.09 | medium |
| minutes | 29 | 34 | 37.8 | 33.21 | low |
| points | 19 | 25 | 31 | 24.94 | low |
| rebounds | 4 | 6 | 8 | 6.44 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES4012.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES20.6% of games
10+ ASSISTS41.2%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ POR | 37 | 28.37 | +30.4% | 24 | 10/20 | 9/15 | 1/5 | 3/3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6.0 | 56% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs OKC | 30 | 28.9 | +3.8% | 20 | 8/18 | 6/13 | 2/5 | 2/4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -10.0 | 51% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ SAC | 30 | 29.03 | +3.3% | 26 | 9/18 | 6/9 | 3/9 | 5/5 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +26.0 | 64% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs SAS | 32 | 29.15 | +9.8% | 24 | 10/16 | 6/11 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs POR | 36 | 24.74 | +45.5% | 23 | 7/15 | 7/10 | 0/5 | 9/10 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -6.0 | 59% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ MIL | 23 | 21.9 | +5% | 20 | 8/16 | 4/9 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +11.0 | 63% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ IND | 35 | 20.56 | +70.2% | 28 | 13/26 | 12/20 | 1/6 | 1/2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +17.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs TOR | 30 | 20.87 | +43.7% | 27 | 9/19 | 7/13 | 2/6 | 7/8 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +14.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ DAL | 36 | 19.77 | +82.1% | 34 | 12/22 | 7/13 | 5/9 | 5/5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +23.0 | 70% |
| 2026-03-14 | vs SAC | 26 | 29.9 | -13.1% | 31 | 13/23 | 11/17 | 2/6 | 3/6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -16.0 | 61% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS95.0%57/60 games
10+ REBOUNDS8.3%5/60 games
5+ ASSISTS31.7%19/60 games
2+ THREES70.0%42/60 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | LAC | 61 | 61.7 | #13 / 409 | 26.1M | High Value |
| 2024–25 | LAC | 43 | 55.5 | #56 / 422 | 19.8M | Core |
| 2023–24 | LAC | 70 | 61.9 | #18 / 409 | 26.5M | High Value |
| 2022–23 | LAC | 54 | 62.8 | #13 / 408 | 23.9M | Core |
| 2020–21 | LAC | 64 | 68.2 | #4 / 410 | 28.2M | High Value |
| 2019–20 | LAC | 71 | 63.3 | #10 / 385 | 28.1M | High Value |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER61.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#13of 409 ranked
PH$26.1MHigh Value
SAMPLE61observed games
Ball security86
Box defence55
Creation41
Efficiency64
Rebounding35
Scoring92
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+23.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+10.1 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE+1.3 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY99-1.7 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
LAC
LA Clippers
EXPECTED MIN25.5
SCORING SHARE23.9%
CREATION SHARE15.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR71.9%
+4.42 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 31 normal-load / 7 nonparticipation games.