Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Rui Hachimura
LA Clippers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER40.72025–26
NBA RANK#235of 409
PH$12.8MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN35.5governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Sacramento Kings2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN28.3
PTS11.3
REB3.2
AST0.8
STL0.6
BLK0.3
3PM1.7
FG%50.9%
3P%44.0%
FT%69.1%
+/-+1.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · LA Clippers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED22.73pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G8 PTS · 1.8 REB · 1.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G7.6 PTS · 2.4 REB · 0 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G8 PTS · 2 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G7 PTS · 1.9 REB · 0.3 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS49.9%1974/3959
2-POINT54.5%1490/2734
3-POINT39.5%484/1225
FREE THROW75.8%606/799
EFFECTIVE FG%56.0%
TRUE SHOOTING%58.4%
AST / TO1.44
PTS PER 3616.29rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 208 | 27.64 | 12.53 | 4.35 | 1.2 | 1.18 | 0.63 | 0.29 |
| Away | 192 | 28.03 | 12.66 | 4.86 | 1.27 | 1.24 | 0.6 | 0.32 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.1 | +0.0 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.23 | high |
| minutes | 22 | 28 | 34.7 | 27.83 | low |
| points | 7 | 12 | 17.2 | 12.6 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4.59 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES133.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHX | 31 | 21.46 | +44.5% | 13 | 4/8 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 3/4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +28.0 | 67% |
| 2026-04-09 | @ GSW | 30 | 20.55 | +46% | 12 | 5/12 | 3/8 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +20.0 | 48% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs OKC | 26 | 17.45 | +49% | 15 | 7/10 | 6/9 | 1/1 | 0/3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -24.0 | 66% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ OKC | 18 | 15.38 | +17% | 4 | 2/9 | 2/6 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -39.0 | 22% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CLE | 19 | 15.65 | +21.4% | 14 | 6/8 | 4/5 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +10.0 | 88% |
| 2026-03-30 | vs WAS | 26 | 14.64 | +77.5% | 14 | 6/10 | 5/7 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +9.0 | 64% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs BKN | 26 | 14.35 | +81.1% | 8 | 3/6 | 3/4 | 0/2 | 2/4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ ORL | 15 | 24.93 | -39.8% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ MIA | 18 | 25.76 | -30.1% | 7 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5.0 | 58% |
| 2026-03-18 | @ HOU | 21 | 27.13 | -22.6% | 8 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +8.0 | 100% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS7.7%5/65 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/65 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/65 games
2+ THREES58.5%38/65 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | LAL | 65 | 28.3 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 50.9% | 44.0% | 69.1% |
| 2024–25 | LAL | 58 | 31.9 | 13.3 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 51.0% | 41.6% | 77.0% |
| 2023–24 | LAL | 68 | 26.8 | 13.6 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 53.8% | 42.2% | 73.9% |
| 2022–23 | WASLAL | 63 | 23.3 | 11.2 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 48.6% | 31.9% | 74.0% |
| 2021–22 | WAS | 41 | 22.2 | 11.4 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 49.6% | 46.6% | 70.3% |
| 2020–21 | WAS | 57 | 31.5 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 47.8% | 32.9% | 77.0% |
| 2019–20 | WAS | 48 | 30.1 | 13.5 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 46.6% | 28.7% | 82.9% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | LAL | 75 | 40.7 | #235 / 409 | 12.8M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | LAL | 63 | 45.3 | #186 / 422 | 14.8M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | LAL | 75 | 47.0 | #149 / 409 | 16M | Core |
| 2022–23 | LAL | 80 | 39.6 | #257 / 408 | 10.3M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | WAS | 43 | 45.9 | #163 / 423 | 12.5M | Rotation |
| 2020–21 | WAS | 64 | 38.6 | #288 / 410 | 10.4M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | WAS | 48 | 39.9 | #226 / 385 | 10.6M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER40.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#235of 409 ranked
PH$12.8MRotation
SAMPLE75observed games
Ball security90
Box defence17
Creation13
Efficiency68
Rebounding13
Scoring32
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-37.5 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-13.4 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+5.8 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY44-0.8 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
EXPECTED MIN24.3
SCORING SHARE9.9%
CREATION SHARE3.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.2%
-2.59 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 39 normal-load / 6 nonparticipation games.