CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Darius Garland

LA Clippers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

LA Clippers · current teamGUSAVanderbilt

AF-PLAYER50.52025–26

NBA RANK#103of 409

PH$16.5MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN26.2governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Sacramento Kings2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.9 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES414

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS19.0

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.6

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS6.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

40 games

MIN30.4

PTS18.8

REB2.5

AST6.8

STL0.9

BLK0.2

3PM2.7

FG%45.4%

3P%38.9%

FT%86.1%

+/-+0.8

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · LA Clippers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Sacramento Kings69.4% winProjected 112–117

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Los Angeles Lakers38.4% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Oklahoma City Thunder31.4% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Los Angeles Lakers52.8% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-30 · AWAY@ Minnesota Timberwolves44.0% winProjected 112–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL27minutes

EXPECTED26.37pregame reference

DEVIATION+2.4%role consistent

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G9.6 PTS · 2 REB · 3.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G16.2 PTS · 2.2 REB · 6.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G14.8 PTS · 2 REB · 4.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G18.2 PTS · 1.8 REB · 6.8 AST

creation→

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding→

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 414 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS45.4%2867/6314

2-POINT49.8%1874/3764

3-POINT38.9%993/2550

FREE THROW86.7%1123/1296

EFFECTIVE FG%53.3%

TRUE SHOOTING%57.0%

AST / TO2.27

PTS PER 3620.68rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

203 HOME · 211 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	203	32.85	19.48	2.52	6.79	2.52	1.06	0.09
Away	211	33.16	18.46	2.75	6.72	2.28	1.21	0.16
Home − Away	—	-0.3	+1.0	-0.2	+0.1	+0.2	-0.1	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

414 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	4	7	9	6.75	medium
minutes	29	33	37.6	33.01	low
points	13	18	25	18.96	medium
rebounds	1	2	4	2.64	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

414 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES7417.9% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.2% of games

10+ ASSISTS7417.9%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-12	vs GSW	27	26.37	+2.4%	15	6/17	5/12	1/5	2/2	0	1	1	6	0	0	1	2	-9.0	42%
2026-04-10	@ POR	41	24.17	+69.6%	16	5/16	3/8	2/8	4/4	1	4	5	7	3	0	3	3	-2.0	45%
2026-04-05	@ SAC	24	29.58	-18.9%	17	7/14	5/7	2/7	1/1	0	4	4	6	1	0	2	4	+10.0	59%
2026-04-02	vs SAS	29	30.35	-4.5%	11	5/17	4/9	1/8	0/2	0	2	2	3	1	1	1	3	-19.0	31%
2026-03-31	vs POR	37	24.59	+50.5%	20	7/17	4/9	3/8	3/3	0	2	2	4	2	1	5	4	-7.0	55%
2026-03-29	@ MIL	27	25.07	+7.7%	15	5/9	2/2	3/7	2/2	0	2	2	11	2	0	5	0	+19.0	76%
2026-03-27	@ IND	35	23.98	+45.9%	30	10/19	4/8	6/11	4/4	0	0	0	5	0	0	4	1	+2.0	72%
2026-03-25	vs TOR	30	19.93	+50.5%	24	9/16	4/7	5/9	1/2	1	3	4	6	1	1	3	2	+12.0	71%
2026-03-21	@ DAL	39	18.14	+115%	41	15/24	7/12	8/12	3/3	1	2	3	11	1	1	4	0	+9.0	81%
2026-03-16	vs SAS	32	17.15	+86.6%	25	9/21	5/12	4/9	3/3	1	1	2	10	2	0	8	3	-4.0	56%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS45.0%18/40 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/40 games

5+ ASSISTS80.0%32/40 games

2+ THREES67.5%27/40 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CLE LAC	40	30.4	18.8	2.5	6.8	45.4%	38.9%	86.1%
2024–25	CLE	72	30.8	20.8	2.9	6.8	47.4%	40.6%	88.2%
2023–24	CLE	57	33.3	18.0	2.7	6.5	44.6%	37.1%	83.4%
2022–23	CLE	69	35.5	21.6	2.7	7.8	46.2%	41.0%	86.3%
2021–22	CLE	66	35.7	21.7	3.3	8.7	46.3%	38.3%	88.9%
2020–21	CLE	54	33.1	17.4	2.4	6.1	45.1%	39.5%	84.9%
2019–20	CLE	56	31.0	12.6	1.8	4.0	40.5%	36.0%	87.5%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	LAC	41	50.5	#103 / 409	16.5M	Core
2024–25	CLE	77	58.6	#36 / 422	25.3M	High Value
2023–24	CLE	69	44.3	#184 / 409	15.2M	Core
2022–23	CLE	74	52.6	#75 / 408	22.8M	Core
2021–22	CLE	68	52.9	#74 / 423	22.8M	Core
2020–21	CLE	54	44.2	#188 / 410	14.1M	Rotation
2019–20	CLE	56	29.2	#343 / 385	7.3M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#103 OF 409

AF-PLAYER50.5descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#103of 409 ranked

PH$16.5MCore

SAMPLE41observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+21.0 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-16.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-4.3 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY65-0.9 pp next-game What If impact

UNDERUSED DECLINING

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

EXPECTED MIN19.0

SCORING SHARE13.2%

CREATION SHARE21.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR61.6%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

LAC

LA Clippers

EXPECTED MIN22.3

SCORING SHARE16.4%

CREATION SHARE26.2%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR67.2%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.