CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Mitchell Robinson

Boston Celtics current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Boston Celtics · current teamC-FUSAWestern Kentucky

AF-PLAYER55.22025–26

NBA RANK#51of 409

PH$20.6MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN19.2governed role

NEXT GAME@ Detroit Pistons2026-10-20 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.7 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES326

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS7.5

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS8.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.7

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

57 games

MIN19.5

PTS5.4

REB8.7

AST0.8

STL0.9

BLK1.2

3PM0.0

FG%71.0%

3P%—

FT%39.8%

+/-+2.2

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Boston Celtics

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-20 · AWAY@ Detroit Pistons45.3% winProjected 111–113

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs New York Knicks50.8% winProjected 111–112

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Chicago Bulls74.2% winProjected 111–116

2026-10-27 · HOMEvs Brooklyn Nets80.5% winProjected 108–115

2026-10-30 · HOMEvs Chicago Bulls74.2% winProjected 111–116

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED15.71pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G3 PTS · 3.8 REB · 0.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.8 PTS · 7.2 REB · 0.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G3.8 PTS · 4.2 REB · 0.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.7 PTS · 6.3 REB · 0.6 AST

creation↓

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↑

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 326 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS70.4%1053/1495

2-POINT70.4%1053/1495

3-POINT—0/0

FREE THROW48.6%330/679

EFFECTIVE FG%70.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%67.9%

AST / TO0.92

PTS PER 3611.2rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

161 HOME · 165 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	161	24.44	8.02	8.25	0.75	0	0.86	1.71
Away	165	23.63	6.93	8.24	0.61	0	1.01	1.51
Home − Away	—	+0.8	+1.1	+0.0	+0.1	0.0	-0.1	+0.2

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

326 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	0	1	0.67	high
minutes	17.1	24.4	30	24.03	low
points	3	7	11	7.47	high
rebounds	5	8	11	8.24	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

326 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES5416.6% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-09	vs BOS	19	19.72	-3.7%	7	3/4	3/4	0/0	1/2	2	5	7	0	3	1	0	3	-2.0	72%
2026-04-06	@ ATL	20	19.28	+3.7%	8	4/6	4/6	0/0	0/0	4	8	12	1	2	3	0	1	+4.0	67%
2026-03-31	@ HOU	16	20.19	-20.8%	5	2/4	2/4	0/0	1/2	2	3	5	0	1	0	0	3	-14.0	51%
2026-03-29	@ OKC	18	19.51	-7.7%	3	1/3	1/3	0/0	1/2	2	2	4	0	0	2	1	1	+2.0	39%
2026-03-26	@ CHA	26	19.85	+31%	4	2/2	2/2	0/0	0/0	2	4	6	1	1	1	1	3	+8.0	100%
2026-03-24	vs NOP	21	17.02	+23.4%	11	5/5	5/5	0/0	1/1	4	4	8	0	1	2	1	2	+11.0	101%
2026-03-22	vs WAS	17	17.06	-0.4%	10	5/5	5/5	0/0	0/0	3	7	10	1	0	2	0	0	+14.0	100%
2026-03-20	@ BKN	24	15.64	+53.5%	3	1/2	1/2	0/0	1/5	4	6	10	0	1	3	2	3	-13.0	36%
2026-03-15	vs GSW	17	12.91	+31.6%	4	2/2	2/2	0/0	0/0	3	7	10	0	3	2	2	0	-6.0	100%
2026-03-13	@ IND	31	11.03	+181%	12	6/10	6/10	0/0	0/0	9	13	22	0	2	2	3	2	+20.0	60%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS1.8%1/57 games

10+ REBOUNDS40.4%23/57 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/57 games

2+ THREES0.0%0/57 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	NYK	57	19.5	5.4	8.7	0.8	71.0%	—	39.8%
2024–25	NYK	16	16.8	4.6	5.4	0.8	68.1%	—	60.0%
2023–24	NYK	31	24.7	5.6	8.5	0.6	57.5%	—	40.9%
2022–23	NYK	59	27.0	7.4	9.4	0.9	67.1%	—	48.4%
2021–22	NYK	72	25.7	8.5	8.6	0.5	76.1%	—	48.6%
2020–21	NYK	31	27.5	8.3	8.1	0.6	65.3%	—	49.1%
2019–20	NYK	60	23.2	9.7	7.0	0.6	75.0%	—	56.9%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	NYK	76	55.2	#51 / 409	20.6M	Core
2024–25	NYK	34	51.2	#115 / 422	13.5M	Rotation
2023–24	NYK	37	44.3	#183 / 409	11.3M	Rotation
2022–23	NYK	70	55.8	#46 / 408	21.7M	Core
2021–22	NYK	72	57.3	#38 / 423	23.3M	Core
2020–21	NYK	31	53.6	#75 / 410	16.2M	Core
2019–20	NYK	61	60.6	#18 / 385	22.6M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#51 OF 409

AF-PLAYER55.2descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#51of 409 ranked

PH$20.6MCore

SAMPLE76observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+52.0 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+14.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGESTABLE+1.0 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY59-0.7 pp next-game What If impact

UNDERUSED EMERGING BREAKOUT WATCH

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

NYK

New York Knicks

EXPECTED MIN14.8

SCORING SHARE4.6%

CREATION SHARE3.1%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR72.9%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.