Final audited reference season.
Boston CelticsEAST · ATLANTIC
Boston Celtics
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
playoff direct
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
49.3% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 69.6
Boston Celtics finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 69.6, ranked #5 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring65.0
Defense76.9
Possession87.1
Creation44.0
Discipline54.6
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 553.3
GAME 1049.0
GAME 2055.3
GAME 4164.3
GAME 6067.9
FINAL69.6
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2062.6#7/30
2020–2149.3#17/30
2021–2268.6#3/30
2022–2369.2#1/30
2023–2478.7#1/30
2024–2576.4#1/30
2025–2669.6#5/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
Neemias Queta1 governed next-game sample87dependency-1.3 pp if OUTLuka Garza1 governed next-game sample81dependency-1.3 pp if OUTRon Harper Jr.1 governed next-game sample74dependency-1.4 pp if OUTJordan Walsh1 governed next-game sample66dependency-1.3 pp if OUTPayton Pritchard1 governed next-game sample65dependency-1.1 pp if OUTPROFILE FIT · scoring
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Jalen BrunsonNYK · scoring94Victor WembanyamaSAS · scoring94Donovan MitchellCLE · scoring94Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC · scoring93Jaylen BrownPHI · scoring93PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERDerrick White
EXPECTED MIN31.8
SCORING SHARE14.6%
CREATION SHARE21.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR83.1%
WITH/WITHOUT-0.51 residual pts
PLAYERPayton Pritchard
EXPECTED MIN31.0
SCORING SHARE14.6%
CREATION SHARE20.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.0%
WITH/WITHOUT-0.82 residual pts
PLAYERJaylen Brown
EXPECTED MIN29.9
SCORING SHARE25.2%
CREATION SHARE21.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.7%
WITH/WITHOUT-6.51 residual pts
PLAYERJayson Tatum
EXPECTED MIN26.8
SCORING SHARE18.5%
CREATION SHARE19.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR73.5%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERSam Hauser
EXPECTED MIN23.3
SCORING SHARE7.9%
CREATION SHARE5.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR84.0%
WITH/WITHOUT+3.82 residual pts
PLAYERNeemias Queta
EXPECTED MIN23.2
SCORING SHARE8.9%
CREATION SHARE6.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.2%
WITH/WITHOUT+2.86 residual pts
PLAYERAnfernee Simons
EXPECTED MIN22.0
SCORING SHARE12.6%
CREATION SHARE9.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR80.7%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERBaylor Scheierman
EXPECTED MIN16.7
SCORING SHARE4.6%
CREATION SHARE5.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR83.7%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.