CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Payton Pritchard

Boston Celtics current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Boston Celtics · current teamGUSAOregon

AF-PLAYER48.82025–26

NBA RANK#127of 409

PH$19.5MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN37.4governed role

NEXT GAME@ Detroit Pistons2026-10-20 WHAT IF IMPACT-1.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES419

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS10.4

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS3.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

75 games

MIN32.5

PTS16.9

REB4.0

AST5.2

STL0.7

BLK0.1

3PM2.7

FG%45.9%

3P%37.5%

FT%89.7%

+/-+5.1

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Boston Celtics

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-20 · AWAY@ Detroit Pistons45.3% winProjected 111–113

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs New York Knicks50.8% winProjected 111–112

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Chicago Bulls74.2% winProjected 111–116

2026-10-27 · HOMEvs Brooklyn Nets80.5% winProjected 108–115

2026-10-30 · HOMEvs Chicago Bulls74.2% winProjected 111–116

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED31.09pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G14.6 PTS · 2.2 REB · 4.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G17.4 PTS · 2.8 REB · 5.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G16.7 PTS · 2.9 REB · 3.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G19.1 PTS · 3.2 REB · 4 AST

creation→

efficiency↑

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 419 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS45.3%1602/3534

2-POINT55.0%748/1361

3-POINT39.3%854/2173

FREE THROW87.0%301/346

EFFECTIVE FG%57.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%59.1%

AST / TO3.38

PTS PER 3616.75rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

210 HOME · 209 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	210	22.2	10.4	2.86	2.84	2.07	0.57	0.12
Away	209	22.52	10.41	3.06	3.18	2.01	0.55	0.1
Home − Away	—	-0.3	-0.0	-0.2	-0.3	+0.1	+0.0	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

419 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	3	5	3.01	high
minutes	13.4	23	31.2	22.36	medium
points	3	9	18	10.4	high
rebounds	1	3	5	2.96	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

419 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES143.3% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.2% of games

10+ ASSISTS102.4%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	vs NOP	30	30.83	-2.7%	21	7/14	2/5	5/9	2/2	0	3	3	10	1	0	1	3	+29.0	71%
2026-04-09	@ NYK	36	30.77	+17%	23	10/20	7/12	3/8	0/0	2	1	3	6	0	0	2	1	+4.0	57%
2026-04-07	vs CHA	30	31.58	-5%	12	4/8	0/1	4/7	0/0	2	2	4	3	0	0	2	2	+5.0	75%
2026-04-05	vs TOR	30	31.98	-6.2%	17	7/12	6/9	1/3	2/2	0	1	1	3	3	0	1	2	+9.0	66%
2026-04-01	@ MIA	31	31.68	-2.1%	14	5/9	1/2	4/7	0/0	2	1	3	4	0	1	0	2	+20.0	78%
2026-03-30	@ ATL	26	31.68	-17.9%	16	6/14	2/8	4/6	0/0	0	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	-19.0	57%
2026-03-29	@ CHA	37	30.86	+19.9%	28	10/18	8/12	2/6	6/6	1	5	6	6	1	0	2	3	+12.0	68%
2026-03-27	vs ATL	35	31.17	+12.3%	36	13/23	7/12	6/11	4/4	3	4	7	4	0	0	5	2	+26.0	73%
2026-03-25	vs OKC	33	30.27	+9%	14	5/11	1/5	4/6	0/0	0	2	2	1	0	1	1	2	+11.0	64%
2026-03-22	vs MIN	27	31.88	-15.3%	10	4/11	2/5	2/6	0/0	0	1	1	3	1	0	1	1	-11.0	46%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS33.3%25/75 games

10+ REBOUNDS2.7%2/75 games

5+ ASSISTS56.0%42/75 games

2+ THREES66.7%50/75 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	BOS	75	32.5	16.9	4.0	5.2	45.9%	37.5%	89.7%
2024–25	BOS	78	28.4	13.9	3.8	3.5	46.5%	40.6%	84.2%
2023–24	BOS	81	22.3	9.7	3.3	3.5	46.8%	38.6%	82.1%
2022–23	BOS	48	13.4	5.6	1.8	1.3	41.2%	36.4%	75.0%
2021–22	BOS	71	14.1	6.2	1.9	2.0	42.9%	41.2%	100.0%
2020–21	BOS	66	19.2	7.7	2.4	1.8	44.0%	41.1%	88.9%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	BOS	82	48.8	#127 / 409	19.5M	Core
2024–25	BOS	89	55.1	#61 / 422	23.9M	Core
2023–24	BOS	100	48.4	#137 / 409	17.3M	Core
2022–23	BOS	58	35.3	#309 / 408	6.7M	Depth
2021–22	BOS	101	46.8	#147 / 423	14.7M	Rotation
2020–21	BOS	72	40.8	#254 / 410	9.8M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#127 OF 409

AF-PLAYER48.8descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#127of 409 ranked

PH$19.5MCore

SAMPLE82observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE-13.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-16.6 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+4.9 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY65-1.1 pp next-game What If impact

DECLINING

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

BOS

Boston Celtics

EXPECTED MIN31.0

SCORING SHARE14.6%

CREATION SHARE20.9%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.0%

-0.82 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 77 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.