Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jalen Brunson
New York Knicks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER54.52025–26
NBA RANK#59of 409
PH$25.2MHigh Value · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN42.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Philadelphia 76ers2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT-2.7 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN35.1
PTS25.9
REB3.3
AST6.7
STL0.8
BLK0.1
3PM2.6
FG%46.7%
3P%37.0%
FT%83.9%
+/-+4.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · New York Knicks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED35.91pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G16.8 PTS · 1.4 REB · 5 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G25.6 PTS · 3.6 REB · 7.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G18.6 PTS · 2.1 REB · 5.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G26.2 PTS · 3.2 REB · 8.4 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
STEADY historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS48.6%3628/7464
2-POINT53.0%2729/5148
3-POINT38.8%899/2316
FREE THROW83.1%1804/2170
EFFECTIVE FG%54.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%59.2%
AST / TO2.91
PTS PER 3623.73rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 244 | 31.15 | 20.35 | 3.22 | 5.59 | 1.8 | 0.72 | 0.09 |
| Away | 240 | 31.29 | 20.8 | 3.46 | 5.53 | 1.91 | 0.79 | 0.12 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.2 | +0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5.56 | high |
| minutes | 25.4 | 34 | 38 | 31.22 | low |
| points | 11.6 | 20 | 30 | 20.58 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.34 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES4910.1% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS489.9%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 31 | 37.46 | -17.3% | 29 | 12/18 | 10/13 | 2/5 | 3/3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +4.0 | 75% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs BOS | 37 | 37.7 | -1.9% | 25 | 10/19 | 8/12 | 2/7 | 3/4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +8.0 | 60% |
| 2026-04-06 | @ ATL | 39 | 36.52 | +6.8% | 30 | 11/26 | 8/18 | 3/8 | 5/7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +7.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ HOU | 37 | 36.88 | +0.3% | 12 | 5/14 | 4/9 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -26.0 | 40% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ OKC | 37 | 36.83 | +0.5% | 32 | 13/22 | 9/15 | 4/7 | 2/4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -13.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-26 | @ CHA | 40 | 36.24 | +10.4% | 26 | 10/23 | 10/17 | 0/6 | 6/6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6.0 | 51% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs NOP | 39 | 35.91 | +8.6% | 32 | 11/19 | 9/15 | 2/4 | 8/9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +16.0 | 70% |
| 2026-03-22 | vs WAS | 28 | 37.94 | -26.2% | 23 | 9/19 | 7/14 | 2/5 | 3/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +24.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-20 | @ BKN | 41 | 36.94 | +11% | 17 | 7/19 | 6/13 | 1/6 | 2/4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +9.0 | 41% |
| 2026-03-15 | vs GSW | 36 | 37.17 | -3.2% | 30 | 9/20 | 7/13 | 2/7 | 10/10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +7.0 | 62% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS80.3%57/71 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/71 games
5+ ASSISTS71.8%51/71 games
2+ THREES67.6%48/71 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NYK | 71 | 35.1 | 25.9 | 3.3 | 6.7 | 46.7% | 37.0% | 83.9% |
| 2024–25 | NYK | 64 | 35.5 | 26.0 | 2.9 | 7.4 | 48.6% | 38.2% | 82.0% |
| 2023–24 | NYK | 77 | 35.4 | 28.7 | 3.6 | 6.7 | 47.9% | 40.1% | 84.7% |
| 2022–23 | NYK | 68 | 34.9 | 24.0 | 3.5 | 6.2 | 49.1% | 41.6% | 82.9% |
| 2021–22 | DAL | 79 | 31.9 | 16.3 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 50.2% | 37.3% | 84.0% |
| 2020–21 | DAL | 68 | 25.0 | 12.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 52.3% | 40.5% | 79.5% |
| 2019–20 | DAL | 57 | 17.9 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 46.7% | 35.8% | 81.3% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NYK | 91 | 54.5 | #59 / 409 | 25.2M | High Value |
| 2024–25 | NYK | 82 | 59.9 | #33 / 422 | 26.9M | High Value |
| 2023–24 | NYK | 90 | 57.8 | #39 / 409 | 26.6M | High Value |
| 2022–23 | NYK | 79 | 57.1 | #39 / 408 | 26M | High Value |
| 2021–22 | DAL | 97 | 50.7 | #99 / 423 | 22.3M | Core |
| 2020–21 | DAL | 75 | 53.2 | #80 / 410 | 20.6M | Core |
| 2019–20 | DAL | 57 | 45.4 | #145 / 385 | 13M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER54.5descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#59of 409 ranked
PH$25.2MHigh Value
SAMPLE91observed games
Ball security78
Box defence13
Creation78
Efficiency47
Rebounding6
Scoring94
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-9.4 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-6.6 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+6.5 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY93-2.7 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
NYK
New York Knicks
EXPECTED MIN32.7
SCORING SHARE22.8%
CREATION SHARE24.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.8%
+5.70 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 68 normal-load / 6 nonparticipation games.