Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Neemias Queta
Boston Celtics current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER59.72025–26
NBA RANK#23of 409
PH$25.4MHigh Value · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN31.7governed role
NEXT GAME@ Detroit Pistons2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT-1.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN25.5
PTS10.2
REB8.5
AST1.6
STL0.8
BLK1.3
3PM0.0
FG%65.0%
3P%12.5%
FT%70.8%
+/-+6.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Boston Celtics
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED25.1pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G9.4 PTS · 6.4 REB · 2.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11.4 PTS · 7.8 REB · 2.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G8.5 PTS · 6.2 REB · 2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G11.1 PTS · 8.1 REB · 2.1 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS64.3%525/817
2-POINT65.0%524/806
3-POINT—1/11
FREE THROW70.9%190/268
EFFECTIVE FG%64.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%66.4%
AST / TO1.39
PTS PER 3614.26rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 89 | 18.08 | 7.47 | 6.1 | 1.25 | 0.01 | 0.47 | 0.9 |
| Away | 87 | 17.52 | 6.62 | 5.25 | 0.84 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.94 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.6 | +0.8 | +0.8 | +0.4 | +0.0 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.05 | high |
| minutes | 7.7 | 19 | 26 | 17.8 | high |
| points | 2 | 6 | 11 | 7.05 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 5 | 9 | 5.68 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES1810.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | vs NOP | 13 | 23.79 | -45.3% | 7 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +13.0 | 117% |
| 2026-04-09 | @ NYK | 24 | 24.56 | -2.3% | 10 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -7.0 | 73% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CHA | 25 | 25.18 | -0.7% | 12 | 6/7 | 6/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +10.0 | 86% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TOR | 34 | 24.59 | +38.3% | 18 | 9/10 | 9/10 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +30.0 | 90% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ MIA | 33 | 23.54 | +40.2% | 16 | 5/7 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 6/8 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +28.0 | 76% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ CHA | 29 | 26.52 | +9.3% | 17 | 8/13 | 8/12 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +13.0 | 61% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs ATL | 28 | 27.16 | +3.1% | 5 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +5.0 | 87% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs OKC | 30 | 26.61 | +12.8% | 13 | 5/7 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +3.0 | 74% |
| 2026-03-22 | vs MIN | 27 | 25.62 | +5.4% | 4 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.0 | 40% |
| 2026-03-20 | @ MEM | 18 | 25.91 | -30.5% | 12 | 4/4 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 4/4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 104% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS2.8%2/72 games
10+ REBOUNDS37.5%27/72 games
5+ ASSISTS5.6%4/72 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/72 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | BOS | 79 | 59.7 | #23 / 409 | 25.4M | High Value |
| 2024–25 | BOS | 64 | 52.1 | #92 / 422 | 15.6M | Core |
| 2023–24 | BOS | 30 | 61.6 | #19 / 409 | 17.4M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER59.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#23of 409 ranked
PH$25.4MHigh Value
SAMPLE79observed games
Ball security48
Box defence58
Creation21
Efficiency89
Rebounding88
Scoring30
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+23.4 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+16.2 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+6.5 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY87-1.3 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
BOS
Boston Celtics
EXPECTED MIN23.2
SCORING SHARE9.0%
CREATION SHARE6.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.2%
+2.86 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 48 normal-load / 5 nonparticipation games.