Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jarrett Allen
Cleveland Cavaliers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER64.42025–26
NBA RANK#8of 409
PH$26.4MHigh Value · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN30.2governed role
NEXT GAME@ Philadelphia 76ers2026-10-22WHAT IF IMPACT-1.5 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN27.2
PTS15.2
REB8.6
AST1.8
STL1.0
BLK0.8
3PM0.0
FG%64.0%
3P%10.0%
FT%70.5%
+/-+3.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Cleveland Cavaliers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED15.01pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G3.2 PTS · 1.6 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G21.6 PTS · 11.4 REB · 2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.8 PTS · 3.5 REB · 0.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G20.6 PTS · 11.1 REB · 2.3 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS65.3%2626/4024
2-POINT66.1%2617/3959
3-POINT13.9%9/65
FREE THROW70.9%1301/1836
EFFECTIVE FG%65.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%67.9%
AST / TO1.37
PTS PER 3617.18rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 234 | 29.97 | 14.2 | 10.1 | 1.94 | 0.03 | 0.72 | 1.19 |
| Away | 228 | 29.56 | 14.21 | 9.71 | 1.86 | 0.01 | 0.77 | 1.12 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.4 | -0.0 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +0.0 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1.9 | high |
| minutes | 25 | 30 | 34.8 | 29.77 | low |
| points | 8 | 14 | 19 | 14.2 | medium |
| rebounds | 7 | 10 | 13 | 9.91 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES22047.6% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | vs ATL | 29 | 10.5 | +176.1% | 16 | 4/9 | 4/9 | 0/0 | 8/11 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3.0 | 58% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ GSW | 24 | 6.58 | +264.9% | 16 | 5/10 | 5/10 | 0/0 | 6/12 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ LAL | 19 | 3.6 | +427.4% | 18 | 9/11 | 9/11 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7.0 | 76% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs MIA | 18 | 0.95 | +1803.4% | 18 | 8/10 | 8/10 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +18.0 | 83% |
| 2026-03-03 | vs DET | 21 | 29.22 | -28.1% | 8 | 4/7 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.0 | 51% |
| 2026-02-27 | @ DET | 31 | 28.56 | +8.5% | 25 | 10/12 | 10/12 | 0/0 | 5/8 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9.0 | 81% |
| 2026-02-25 | @ MIL | 32 | 27.42 | +16.7% | 27 | 10/15 | 10/15 | 0/0 | 7/8 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -10.0 | 73% |
| 2026-02-24 | vs NYK | 29 | 27.71 | +4.7% | 19 | 7/8 | 7/8 | 0/0 | 5/7 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +11.0 | 86% |
| 2026-02-22 | @ OKC | 29 | 28.1 | +3.2% | 11 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 3/6 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -15.0 | 64% |
| 2026-02-20 | @ CHA | 32 | 26.35 | +21.4% | 26 | 11/15 | 11/15 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2.0 | 76% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS20.8%11/53 games
10+ REBOUNDS41.5%22/53 games
5+ ASSISTS3.8%2/53 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/53 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CLE | 53 | 27.2 | 15.2 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 64.0% | 10.0% | 70.5% |
| 2024–25 | CLE | 77 | 28.5 | 13.6 | 9.9 | 2.0 | 70.1% | 0.0% | 72.5% |
| 2023–24 | CLE | 77 | 31.7 | 16.5 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 63.4% | 0.0% | 74.2% |
| 2022–23 | CLE | 68 | 32.7 | 14.3 | 9.8 | 1.7 | 64.4% | 10.0% | 73.3% |
| 2021–22 | CLE | 55 | 32.2 | 16.2 | 10.8 | 1.6 | 67.8% | 10.0% | 71.6% |
| 2020–21 | CLEBKN | 62 | 29.5 | 12.9 | 10.1 | 1.7 | 62.2% | 31.6% | 70.5% |
| 2019–20 | BKN | 70 | 26.4 | 11.1 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 65.0% | 0.0% | 63.3% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CLE | 71 | 64.4 | #8 / 409 | 26.4M | High Value |
| 2024–25 | CLE | 86 | 64.3 | #9 / 422 | 27.7M | High Value |
| 2023–24 | CLE | 81 | 66.7 | #8 / 409 | 27.6M | High Value |
| 2022–23 | CLE | 73 | 58.3 | #34 / 408 | 25M | High Value |
| 2021–22 | CLE | 56 | 62.3 | #13 / 423 | 24.9M | Core |
| 2020–21 | CLE | 62 | 61.6 | #21 / 410 | 25M | High Value |
| 2019–20 | BKN | 74 | 63.3 | #11 / 385 | 26.1M | High Value |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER64.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#8of 409 ranked
PH$26.4MHigh Value
SAMPLE71observed games
Ball security76
Box defence55
Creation18
Efficiency92
Rebounding74
Scoring53
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+29.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+0.2 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE+2.5 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY94-1.5 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
EXPECTED MIN20.4
SCORING SHARE12.5%
CREATION SHARE5.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR68.9%
+3.47 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 38 normal-load / 6 nonparticipation games.