CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Thomas Bryant

Cleveland Cavaliers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Cleveland Cavaliers · current teamC-FUSAIndiana

AF-PLAYER49.52025–26

NBA RANK#115of 409

PH$13.5MRotation · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN10.5governed role

NEXT GAME@ Philadelphia 76ers2026-10-22 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES296

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS8.4

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS4.7

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

55 games

MIN12.0

PTS6.1

REB3.3

AST0.6

STL0.3

BLK0.5

3PM0.8

FG%50.0%

3P%36.4%

FT%81.7%

+/-+1.4

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-22 · AWAY@ Philadelphia 76ers45.5% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs Brooklyn Nets76.6% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Minnesota Timberwolves59.3% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Washington Wizards70.1% winProjected 112–118

2026-10-29 · AWAY@ Atlanta Hawks41.7% winProjected 113–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED10.1pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G7.6 PTS · 5.2 REB · 0.4 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G3.2 PTS · 1.8 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.5 PTS · 4.7 REB · 0.6 AST

creation↓

efficiency↑

minutes→

rebounding↑

scoring↑

HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 296 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS56.4%965/1711

2-POINT64.5%790/1224

3-POINT35.9%175/487

FREE THROW78.5%372/474

EFFECTIVE FG%61.5%

TRUE SHOOTING%64.5%

AST / TO1.33

PTS PER 3618.12rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

153 HOME · 143 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	153	16.2	8.35	4.48	0.81	0.64	0.3	0.64
Away	143	17.08	8.39	4.9	0.92	0.54	0.39	0.63
Home − Away	—	-0.9	-0.0	-0.4	-0.1	+0.1	-0.1	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

296 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	0	2	0.86	high
minutes	10	15.7	24	16.63	high
points	3	8	13	8.37	high
rebounds	2	4	7	4.69	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

296 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES248.1% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-02	@ GSW	14	16.08	-12.9%	3	1/2	0/1	1/1	0/0	0	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	+3.0	75%
2026-03-31	@ LAL	25	14.49	+72.5%	14	5/7	2/3	3/4	1/2	4	2	6	0	0	1	0	1	+5.0	89%
2026-03-27	vs MIA	14	14.21	-1.5%	11	5/10	4/6	1/4	0/0	3	1	4	0	0	0	2	2	0.0	55%
2026-03-25	vs MIA	16	14.67	+9.1%	4	2/7	2/6	0/1	0/0	1	4	5	0	0	0	1	2	-13.0	29%
2026-03-24	vs ORL	13	15.29	-15%	9	4/4	4/4	0/0	1/1	1	5	6	1	2	0	1	2	+13.0	101%
2026-03-21	@ NOP	15	14.4	+4.1%	11	5/7	5/6	0/1	1/2	2	6	8	1	0	1	1	2	-6.0	70%
2026-03-19	@ CHI	16	13.5	+18.5%	5	2/5	1/3	1/2	0/2	1	3	4	0	0	0	0	0	+4.0	43%
2026-03-17	@ MIL	10	15.37	-34.9%	5	2/4	1/1	1/3	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-5.0	63%
2026-03-13	@ DAL	22	13.74	+60.1%	11	4/5	3/3	1/2	2/2	1	3	4	0	2	2	0	2	+15.0	94%
2026-03-11	@ ORL	19	13.15	+44.5%	12	4/8	3/4	1/4	3/3	3	2	5	0	0	1	0	1	+1.0	64%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/55 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/55 games

5+ ASSISTS1.8%1/55 games

2+ THREES16.4%9/55 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CLE	55	12.0	6.1	3.3	0.6	50.0%	36.4%	81.7%
2024–25	MIA IND	62	14.3	6.3	3.7	0.8	50.7%	32.8%	85.3%
2023–24	MIA	38	11.7	5.7	3.7	0.6	57.7%	18.2%	87.2%
2022–23	DEN LAL	59	18.3	9.8	5.8	0.5	62.3%	44.1%	73.8%
2021–22	WAS	26	16.7	7.7	4.0	0.9	52.0%	28.6%	87.5%
2020–21	WAS	10	27.1	14.3	6.1	1.5	64.8%	42.9%	66.7%
2019–20	WAS	46	24.9	13.2	7.2	1.8	58.1%	40.7%	74.1%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	CLE	64	49.5	#115 / 409	13.5M	Rotation
2024–25	IND	82	51.7	#100 / 422	15.9M	Core
2023–24	MIA	41	55.8	#56 / 409	16M	Core
2022–23	DEN	60	58.9	#31 / 408	19.5M	Core
2021–22	WAS	39	49.0	#117 / 423	13.2M	Rotation
2019–20	WAS	47	61.3	#13 / 385	21.5M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#115 OF 409

AF-PLAYER49.5descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#115of 409 ranked

PH$13.5MRotation

SAMPLE64observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+54.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-4.4 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGESTABLE-0.5 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY47-0.2 pp next-game What If impact

UNDERUSED

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

EXPECTED MIN7.6

SCORING SHARE4.7%

CREATION SHARE1.8%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR66.3%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.