Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Mario Hezonja
Cleveland Cavaliers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER29.02019–20
NBA RANK#344of 385
PH$6.2MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN12.1governed role
NEXT GAME@ Philadelphia 76ers2026-10-22WHAT IF IMPACT-0.6 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2019–20
MIN16.4
PTS4.8
REB3.5
AST0.9
STL0.7
BLK0.2
3PM0.5
FG%42.2%
3P%30.8%
FT%81.4%
+/--3.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Cleveland Cavaliers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2019–20
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL11.45minutes
EXPECTED12.94pregame reference
DEVIATION-11.5%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G4.2 PTS · 3.2 REB · 1.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G3.6 PTS · 2 REB · 0.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G5.5 PTS · 2.9 REB · 0.9 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G2.7 PTS · 2.3 REB · 0.6 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.2%92/218
2-POINT48.6%68/140
3-POINT30.8%24/78
FREE THROW81.4%48/59
EFFECTIVE FG%47.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%52.5%
AST / TO1.19
PTS PER 3610.58rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 23 | 16.55 | 4.74 | 3.57 | 0.83 | 0.52 | 0.74 | 0.09 |
| Away | 30 | 16.36 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 1.03 | 0.4 | 0.63 | 0.23 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.2 | -0.2 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.94 | high |
| minutes | 11.1 | 14.7 | 23 | 16.44 | medium |
| points | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4.83 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 5.6 | 3.47 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES11.9% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2019–20
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-08-13 | @ BKN | 11.4 | 12.94 | -11.5% | 2 | 1/5 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6.0 | 20% |
| 2020-08-11 | @ DAL | 22.1 | 11.48 | +92.6% | 3 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.0 | 26% |
| 2020-08-09 | vs PHI | 25.4 | 11.24 | +126.3% | 12 | 5/10 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.0 | 60% |
| 2020-08-08 | vs LAC | 10.6 | 12.33 | -13.9% | 4 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9.0 | 69% |
| 2020-08-02 | @ BOS | 11.8 | 22.31 | -47.1% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -16.0 | 50% |
| 2020-07-31 | vs MEM | 23.4 | — | — | 8 | 2/5 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +5.0 | 59% |
| 2020-03-10 | vs PHX | 14.4 | 16.17 | -10.9% | 8 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +3.0 | 133% |
| 2020-03-07 | vs SAC | 22.9 | 12.52 | +82.7% | 16 | 7/11 | 5/7 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1.0 | 73% |
| 2020-03-06 | @ PHX | 13.1 | 12.39 | +5.3% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 75% |
| 2020-03-04 | vs WAS | 16.2 | 12.39 | +30.6% | 3 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -13.0 | 50% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2019–20
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/53 games
10+ REBOUNDS3.8%2/53 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/53 games
2+ THREES13.2%7/53 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019–20 | POR | 53 | 16.4 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 42.2% | 30.8% | 81.4% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2019–20
AF-PLAYER29.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#344of 385 ranked
PH$6.2MDepth
SAMPLE71observed games
Ball security34
Box defence44
Creation21
Efficiency29
Rebounding39
Scoring20
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2019–20
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
EXPECTED MIN12.0
SCORING SHARE3.9%
CREATION SHARE4.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR66.8%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.