CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Evan Mobley

Cleveland Cavaliers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Cleveland Cavaliers · current teamCUSASouthern California

AF-PLAYER56.82025–26

NBA RANK#37of 409

PH$25.9MHigh Value · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN38.4governed role

NEXT GAME@ Philadelphia 76ers2026-10-22 WHAT IF IMPACT-1.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES324

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS16.6

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS8.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS3.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

60 games

MIN32.2

PTS17.9

REB8.8

AST3.6

STL0.8

BLK1.7

3PM1.0

FG%53.9%

3P%30.5%

FT%60.8%

+/-+2.6

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-22 · AWAY@ Philadelphia 76ers45.5% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs Brooklyn Nets76.6% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Minnesota Timberwolves59.3% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Washington Wizards70.1% winProjected 112–118

2026-10-29 · AWAY@ Atlanta Hawks41.7% winProjected 113–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED28.44pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G6.4 PTS · 5 REB · 0.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G16.8 PTS · 10.6 REB · 4.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G8.1 PTS · 5.4 REB · 2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G19.1 PTS · 9.9 REB · 3.3 AST

creation↑

efficiency↑

minutes→

rebounding↑

scoring↓

HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 324 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS54.6%2166/3969

2-POINT59.3%1959/3303

3-POINT31.1%207/666

FREE THROW67.3%856/1272

EFFECTIVE FG%57.2%

TRUE SHOOTING%59.6%

AST / TO1.62

PTS PER 3618.42rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

164 HOME · 160 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	164	32.51	16.24	9.29	3.21	0.59	0.81	1.62
Away	160	32.57	17.07	8.57	2.88	0.69	0.81	1.54
Home − Away	—	-0.1	-0.8	+0.7	+0.3	-0.1	0.0	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

324 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	3	5	3.05	high
minutes	29	33	36.4	32.54	low
points	12	16	22	16.65	medium
rebounds	6	9	12	8.94	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

324 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES12638.9% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	@ ATL	22	29.96	-26.6%	10	5/12	5/12	0/0	0/0	3	3	6	1	0	1	4	1	-16.0	42%
2026-04-08	vs ATL	36	29.32	+22.8%	22	8/15	8/12	0/3	6/10	4	15	19	3	0	3	1	1	+20.0	57%
2026-04-02	@ GSW	32	28.53	+12.1%	12	6/11	6/9	0/2	0/2	2	8	10	5	1	0	0	0	+3.0	51%
2026-03-31	@ LAL	22	30.4	-27.6%	6	2/4	2/3	0/1	2/2	1	3	4	4	0	0	1	2	-18.0	62%
2026-03-27	vs MIA	29	31.29	-7.3%	23	10/15	9/13	1/2	2/2	0	10	10	3	1	0	0	2	+15.0	72%
2026-03-25	vs MIA	31	29.95	+3.5%	8	3/8	3/8	0/0	2/5	1	4	5	4	0	0	2	2	-5.0	39%
2026-03-24	vs ORL	33	28.41	+16.2%	19	8/8	8/8	0/0	3/4	3	6	9	6	0	1	3	4	-4.0	97%
2026-03-21	@ NOP	30	27.52	+9%	18	8/10	8/9	0/1	2/5	3	5	8	3	1	2	2	3	0.0	74%
2026-03-19	@ CHI	36	26.2	+37.4%	26	12/19	12/18	0/1	2/6	6	8	14	3	1	0	0	1	+11.0	60%
2026-03-17	@ MIL	33	26.77	+23.3%	27	12/21	12/19	0/2	3/5	6	9	15	2	0	3	0	2	+7.0	58%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS38.3%23/60 games

10+ REBOUNDS40.0%24/60 games

5+ ASSISTS33.3%20/60 games

2+ THREES28.3%17/60 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CLE	60	32.2	17.9	8.8	3.6	53.9%	30.5%	60.8%
2024–25	CLE	67	30.7	18.6	9.3	3.2	55.6%	37.0%	71.5%
2023–24	CLE	50	30.6	15.7	9.4	3.2	58.0%	37.3%	71.9%
2022–23	CLE	79	34.4	16.1	9.0	2.8	55.4%	21.6%	67.3%
2021–22	CLE	68	33.9	14.9	8.3	2.5	50.9%	24.7%	66.0%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	CLE	78	56.8	#37 / 409	25.9M	High Value
2024–25	CLE	75	65.8	#8 / 422	27.3M	High Value
2023–24	CLE	62	58.1	#37 / 409	23M	Core
2022–23	CLE	84	48.7	#116 / 408	20.6M	Core
2021–22	CLE	70	45.8	#165 / 423	16.8M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#37 OF 409

AF-PLAYER56.8descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#37of 409 ranked

PH$25.9MHigh Value

SAMPLE78observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+6.6 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-7.2 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+5.4 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY84-1.4 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

EXPECTED MIN26.8

SCORING SHARE15.4%

CREATION SHARE14.2%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.0%

-0.23 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 54 normal-load / 5 nonparticipation games.