Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Craig Jr. Porter
Cleveland Cavaliers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER39.12025–26
NBA RANK#271of 409
PH$8.5MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN10.5governed role
NEXT GAME@ Philadelphia 76ers2026-10-22WHAT IF IMPACT+0.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN17.5
PTS4.4
REB3.3
AST3.2
STL0.9
BLK0.5
3PM0.5
FG%44.8%
3P%35.4%
FT%57.1%
+/-+1.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Cleveland Cavaliers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED5.89pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G1.2 PTS · 1 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2.8 PTS · 2.6 REB · 2.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.6 PTS · 0.6 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G4.1 PTS · 3.2 REB · 3.7 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS48.8%278/570
2-POINT53.2%223/419
3-POINT36.4%55/151
FREE THROW69.2%81/117
EFFECTIVE FG%53.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.7%
AST / TO2.84
PTS PER 3611.85rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 80 | 13.43 | 4.29 | 2.33 | 2.09 | 0.38 | 0.56 | 0.35 |
| Away | 75 | 13.71 | 4.65 | 2.23 | 2.59 | 0.33 | 0.59 | 0.4 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.3 | -0.4 | +0.1 | -0.5 | +0.1 | -0.0 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.33 | high |
| minutes | 4 | 14 | 22 | 13.56 | high |
| points | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4.46 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2.28 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS42.6%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ ATL | 17 | 3.38 | +402.5% | 6 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 77% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ LAL | 16 | 1.11 | +1342.2% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +4.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-13 | @ DAL | 15 | 13.3 | +12.8% | 5 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12.0 | 125% |
| 2026-03-09 | vs PHI | 15 | 14.96 | +0.3% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-08 | vs BOS | 4 | 15.39 | -74% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4.0 | — |
| 2026-03-03 | vs DET | 22 | 12.46 | +76.5% | 7 | 3/8 | 2/4 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +6.0 | 44% |
| 2026-02-27 | @ DET | 32 | 10.57 | +202.6% | 5 | 2/9 | 2/6 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +13.0 | 25% |
| 2026-02-25 | @ MIL | 22 | 9.29 | +136.7% | 8 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 | 90% |
| 2026-02-24 | vs NYK | 3 | 10.38 | -71.1% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 | — |
| 2026-02-19 | vs BKN | 17 | 17.56 | -3.2% | 2 | 1/5 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -14.0 | 20% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/58 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/58 games
5+ ASSISTS20.7%12/58 games
2+ THREES12.1%7/58 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CLE | 65 | 39.1 | #271 / 409 | 8.5M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | CLE | 52 | 46.7 | #171 / 422 | 10.5M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | CLE | 51 | 47.9 | #142 / 409 | 12.4M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER39.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#271of 409 ranked
PH$8.5MDepth
SAMPLE65observed games
Ball security30
Box defence58
Creation83
Efficiency25
Rebounding45
Scoring10
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+16.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-25.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-5.4 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY22+0.1 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
EXPECTED MIN11.5
SCORING SHARE3.5%
CREATION SHARE10.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR66.9%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.