CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Joel Embiid

Philadelphia 76ers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Philadelphia 76ers · current teamC-FCameroonKansas

AF-PLAYER58.52025–26

NBA RANK#29of 409

PH$22.3MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN23.9governed role

NEXT GAME@ New York Knicks2026-10-20 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.6 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES326

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS29.2

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS10.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS4.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

37 games

MIN31.6

PTS26.9

REB7.8

AST3.9

STL0.6

BLK1.2

3PM1.4

FG%48.5%

3P%33.6%

FT%85.5%

+/-+4.2

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Philadelphia 76ers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-20 · AWAY@ New York Knicks28.8% winProjected 109–116

2026-10-22 · HOMEvs Cleveland Cavaliers54.5% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs Milwaukee Bucks66.7% winProjected 112–116

2026-10-25 · HOMEvs Detroit Pistons51.0% winProjected 112–112

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Indiana Pacers45.0% winProjected 113–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED16.19pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G6.8 PTS · 2.4 REB · 0.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G25.4 PTS · 6.8 REB · 2.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G14.3 PTS · 4.4 REB · 2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G24.5 PTS · 6 REB · 3 AST

creation↓

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding→

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 326 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS50.8%3103/6107

2-POINT54.4%2710/4982

3-POINT34.9%393/1125

FREE THROW84.6%2922/3453

EFFECTIVE FG%54.0%

TRUE SHOOTING%62.4%

AST / TO1.22

PTS PER 3632.44rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

178 HOME · 148 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	178	32.57	29.7	10.78	4.29	1.17	1.06	1.49
Away	148	32.22	28.61	10.07	3.55	1.24	0.84	1.34
Home − Away	—	+0.3	+1.1	+0.7	+0.7	-0.1	+0.2	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

326 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	2	3	6	3.96	high
minutes	29	33	36.5	32.41	low
points	21	30	37	29.21	medium
rebounds	7	11	13	10.46	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

326 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES19660.1% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES72.1% of games

10+ ASSISTS92.8%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-06	@ SAS	39	18.61	+109.6%	34	8/19	6/13	2/6	16/19	5	7	12	1	0	4	4	3	-7.0	62%
2026-04-03	vs MIN	34	16.7	+103.7%	19	6/17	5/11	1/6	6/7	2	11	13	7	0	3	1	3	+15.0	47%
2026-03-30	@ MIA	34	11.34	+199.7%	26	10/25	8/19	2/6	4/5	1	6	7	3	0	1	3	4	-18.0	48%
2026-03-28	@ CHA	36	5.68	+533.6%	29	8/19	5/13	3/6	10/13	0	6	6	2	0	2	0	0	+5.0	59%
2026-03-25	vs CHI	28	—	—	35	12/17	9/14	3/3	8/9	0	6	6	7	0	1	3	2	+33.0	84%
2026-02-26	vs MIA	31	4.13	+649.8%	26	8/20	6/14	2/6	8/9	1	10	11	4	1	0	2	1	0.0	54%
2026-02-07	@ PHX	33	28.06	+17.6%	33	9/19	5/12	4/7	11/13	1	8	9	3	0	1	2	3	-10.0	67%
2026-02-05	@ LAL	39	26.55	+46.9%	35	13/19	12/17	1/2	8/8	1	6	7	7	1	2	3	2	+7.0	78%
2026-02-02	@ LAC	32	—	—	24	8/19	7/17	1/2	7/7	0	5	5	3	1	0	1	4	+2.0	54%
2026-01-31	vs NOP	39	—	—	40	13/27	10/22	3/5	11/14	4	7	11	4	1	2	5	2	+16.0	60%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS86.5%32/37 games

10+ REBOUNDS27.0%10/37 games

5+ ASSISTS29.7%11/37 games

2+ THREES37.8%14/37 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	PHI	37	31.6	26.9	7.8	3.9	48.5%	33.6%	85.5%
2024–25	PHI	19	30.2	23.8	8.2	4.5	44.4%	29.9%	88.2%
2023–24	PHI	39	33.6	34.7	11.0	5.6	52.9%	38.9%	88.3%
2022–23	PHI	66	34.7	33.1	10.2	4.2	54.8%	33.0%	85.7%
2021–22	PHI	65	33.7	30.2	11.6	4.2	49.7%	37.0%	81.3%
2020–21	PHI	50	31.2	28.6	10.7	2.9	51.2%	37.6%	86.1%
2019–20	PHI	50	29.4	22.9	11.5	3.0	47.6%	32.3%	80.7%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	PHI	44	58.5	#29 / 409	22.3M	Core
2023–24	PHI	46	69.5	#5 / 409	24M	Core
2022–23	PHI	75	66.5	#7 / 408	28.1M	High Value
2021–22	PHI	75	65.9	#4 / 423	28.6M	High Value
2020–21	PHI	61	66.7	#6 / 410	26.6M	High Value
2019–20	PHI	56	60.9	#17 / 385	23.7M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#29 OF 409

AF-PLAYER58.5descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#29of 409 ranked

PH$22.3MCore

SAMPLE44observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+43.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-8.0 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY73-0.6 pp next-game What If impact

UNDERUSED

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

EXPECTED MIN16.0

SCORING SHARE22.0%

CREATION SHARE15.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR50.4%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.