CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Quentin Grimes

Los Angeles Lakers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Los Angeles Lakers · current teamGUSAHouston

AF-PLAYER40.12025–26

NBA RANK#251of 409

PH$12.3MRotation · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN20.5governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Golden State Warriors2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES299

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS10.4

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

70 games

MIN29.3

PTS13.1

REB3.7

AST3.2

STL0.8

BLK0.4

3PM1.7

FG%44.8%

3P%33.6%

FT%83.4%

+/--0.8

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Los Angeles Lakers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Golden State Warriors65.3% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs LA Clippers61.6% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Utah Jazz62.4% winProjected 115–114

2026-10-27 · HOMEvs Portland Trail Blazers63.3% winProjected 111–115

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ LA Clippers47.2% winProjected 112–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED23.07pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G5.8 PTS · 2 REB · 0.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11 PTS · 2.6 REB · 1 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G8.3 PTS · 3 REB · 1.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G16.6 PTS · 3.7 REB · 2.4 AST

creation↓

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↓

COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 299 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS44.5%1086/2438

2-POINT57.1%537/940

3-POINT36.6%549/1498

FREE THROW79.6%405/509

EFFECTIVE FG%55.8%

TRUE SHOOTING%58.7%

AST / TO1.87

PTS PER 3614.9rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

149 HOME · 150 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	149	24.99	10.26	3.3	2.13	1.74	0.75	0.26
Away	150	25.52	10.65	2.99	2.18	1.93	0.76	0.34
Home − Away	—	-0.5	-0.4	+0.3	-0.1	-0.2	-0.0	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

299 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	2	3.4	2.16	high
minutes	17	26	34	25.25	medium
points	4	9	16	10.45	high
rebounds	1	3	5	3.14	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

299 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES20.7% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS10.3%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	@ IND	16	23.02	-30.5%	4	1/5	1/4	0/1	2/2	1	2	3	1	0	0	1	2	-3.0	34%
2026-04-09	@ HOU	26	23.71	+9.7%	20	7/16	6/12	1/4	5/6	0	2	2	0	1	0	1	2	0.0	54%
2026-04-06	@ SAS	23	25.01	-8%	5	2/7	1/3	1/4	0/0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	3	-7.0	36%
2026-04-04	vs DET	17	27.27	-37.7%	0	0/4	0/2	0/2	0/0	0	3	3	1	0	0	1	2	-8.0	0%
2026-04-03	vs MIN	25	24.42	+2.4%	10	5/8	5/7	0/1	0/0	0	4	4	1	0	2	0	2	+9.0	63%
2026-04-01	@ WAS	23	25.87	-11.1%	12	5/10	3/6	2/4	0/0	1	3	4	1	0	0	2	1	-13.0	60%
2026-03-30	@ MIA	32	25.46	+25.7%	11	4/8	2/3	2/5	1/2	2	3	5	4	0	0	1	1	+12.0	62%
2026-03-28	@ CHA	29	27.16	+6.8%	8	2/5	0/2	2/3	2/2	0	1	1	3	1	0	1	3	+13.0	68%
2026-03-25	vs CHI	31	27.43	+13%	13	5/10	4/7	1/3	2/2	1	5	6	5	3	3	1	3	+16.0	60%
2026-03-19	@ SAC	32	32.19	-0.6%	27	10/20	7/14	3/6	4/6	0	5	5	7	0	0	1	2	+11.0	60%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS17.1%12/70 games

10+ REBOUNDS1.4%1/70 games

5+ ASSISTS20.0%14/70 games

2+ THREES51.4%36/70 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	PHI	70	29.3	13.1	3.7	3.2	44.8%	33.6%	83.4%
2024–25	PHI DAL	62	25.3	12.6	4.2	2.6	47.6%	39.0%	76.5%
2023–24	NYK DET	51	20.1	7.0	2.0	1.3	37.3%	33.8%	75.6%
2022–23	NYK	71	29.9	11.3	3.2	2.1	46.8%	38.6%	79.6%
2021–22	NYK	45	17.5	6.1	2.1	1.0	40.4%	38.1%	68.4%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	PHI	82	40.1	#251 / 409	12.3M	Rotation
2024–25	DAL	62	48.2	#146 / 422	15.3M	Core
2023–24	NYK	51	30.3	#379 / 409	6.1M	Depth
2022–23	NYK	80	38.7	#273 / 408	10.8M	Rotation
2021–22	NYK	61	35.8	#327 / 423	7M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#251 OF 409

AF-PLAYER40.1descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#251of 409 ranked

PH$12.3MRotation

SAMPLE82observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE-2.0 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-26.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-7.8 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY25-0.1 pp next-game What If impact

DECLINING

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

EXPECTED MIN25.8

SCORING SHARE11.0%

CREATION SHARE13.2%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.2%

+1.19 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 53 normal-load / 4 nonparticipation games.