Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Andre Drummond
New York Knicks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER42.12025–26
NBA RANK#217of 409
PH$11.3MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN10.8governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Philadelphia 76ers2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT-1.0 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN19.5
PTS6.3
REB8.4
AST1.2
STL0.6
BLK0.8
3PM0.5
FG%46.7%
3P%34.2%
FT%63.1%
+/--2.0
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · New York Knicks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED16.58pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G4.8 PTS · 7.4 REB · 1.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G3.6 PTS · 4.4 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G3.4 PTS · 5.6 REB · 1.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G5.2 PTS · 7.8 REB · 1.2 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS53.2%1642/3087
2-POINT54.8%1606/2933
3-POINT23.4%36/154
FREE THROW57.9%682/1178
EFFECTIVE FG%53.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.5%
AST / TO0.78
PTS PER 3616.7rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 213 | 20.76 | 10.35 | 9.82 | 1.27 | 0.09 | 1.01 | 0.84 |
| Away | 206 | 20.42 | 8.72 | 9.48 | 1.35 | 0.08 | 1.1 | 0.81 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.3 | +1.6 | +0.3 | -0.1 | +0.0 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.31 | high |
| minutes | 13 | 18.1 | 29 | 20.59 | medium |
| points | 4 | 8 | 14.4 | 9.55 | high |
| rebounds | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9.65 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES13933.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ IND | 29 | 16.54 | +75.3% | 10 | 4/10 | 4/9 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +24.0 | 46% |
| 2026-04-09 | @ HOU | 30 | 12.71 | +136.1% | 5 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 2 | 13 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +7.0 | 67% |
| 2026-04-06 | @ SAS | 9 | 13.26 | -32.1% | 5 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 | 56% |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 18 | 11.05 | +62.9% | 4 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -15.0 | 40% |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 9 | 12.05 | -25.3% | 4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +11.0 | 106% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ WAS | 24 | 11.64 | +106.1% | 6 | 2/5 | 0/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ CHA | 6 | 19.68 | -69.5% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs CHI | 5 | 19.22 | -74% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -11.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs OKC | 19 | 17.36 | +9.4% | 6 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ SAC | 24 | 15.36 | +56.2% | 13 | 5/11 | 2/8 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +13.0 | 59% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/59 games
10+ REBOUNDS42.4%25/59 games
5+ ASSISTS3.4%2/59 games
2+ THREES11.9%7/59 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | PHI | 59 | 19.5 | 6.3 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 46.7% | 34.2% | 63.1% |
| 2024–25 | PHI | 40 | 18.7 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 50.0% | 15.0% | 62.2% |
| 2023–24 | CHI | 79 | 17.1 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 55.6% | 0.0% | 59.2% |
| 2022–23 | CHI | 67 | 12.7 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 0.5 | 60.6% | 0.0% | 53.6% |
| 2021–22 | PHIBKN | 71 | 19.9 | 8.1 | 9.4 | 1.8 | 57.2% | 0.0% | 52.5% |
| 2020–21 | CLELAL | 46 | 27.0 | 14.9 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 49.3% | 0.0% | 60.0% |
| 2019–20 | CLEDET | 57 | 33.0 | 17.7 | 15.2 | 2.7 | 53.3% | 14.3% | 57.5% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | PHI | 71 | 42.1 | #217 / 409 | 11.3M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | PHI | 40 | 42.3 | #228 / 422 | 9.4M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | CHI | 81 | 53.7 | #78 / 409 | 18.3M | Core |
| 2022–23 | CHI | 69 | 54.0 | #61 / 408 | 16.8M | Core |
| 2021–22 | BKN | 76 | 54.1 | #65 / 423 | 20M | Core |
| 2020–21 | LAL | 53 | 50.1 | #110 / 410 | 16.6M | Core |
| 2019–20 | CLE | 57 | 54.6 | #55 / 385 | 22.2M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER42.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#217of 409 ranked
PH$11.3MRotation
SAMPLE71observed games
Ball security37
Box defence53
Creation18
Efficiency43
Rebounding93
Scoring21
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+28.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+1.0 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-7.8 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY51-1.0 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
EXPECTED MIN14.3
SCORING SHARE5.2%
CREATION SHARE4.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR71.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.