Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Justin Edwards
Philadelphia 76ers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER34.62025–26
NBA RANK#333of 409
PH$6.8MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN14.5governed role
NEXT GAME@ New York Knicks2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT-0.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN15.5
PTS6.0
REB1.6
AST1.3
STL0.8
BLK0.2
3PM1.0
FG%44.8%
3P%36.3%
FT%83.3%
+/--1.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Philadelphia 76ers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED9.01pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G1.6 PTS · 0.6 REB · 0.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G4.8 PTS · 1.6 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G2.7 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G5.6 PTS · 1.3 REB · 0.8 AST
creation↑
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.7%238/532
2-POINT55.6%133/239
3-POINT35.8%105/293
FREE THROW76.5%52/68
EFFECTIVE FG%54.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%56.3%
AST / TO1.88
PTS PER 3613.32rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 45 | 20.69 | 7.8 | 2.42 | 1.6 | 1.27 | 0.76 | 0.29 |
| Away | 46 | 16.96 | 6.13 | 1.8 | 1.09 | 1.04 | 0.85 | 0.22 |
| Home − Away | — | +3.7 | +1.7 | +0.6 | +0.5 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.34 | high |
| minutes | 8 | 19 | 29 | 18.8 | high |
| points | 2 | 5 | 11 | 6.96 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.11 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ IND | 16 | 8.99 | +78.1% | 2 | 1/4 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2.0 | 25% |
| 2026-04-09 | @ HOU | 13 | 7.92 | +64.1% | 4 | 2/5 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +12.0 | 40% |
| 2026-04-06 | @ SAS | 5 | 9.01 | -44.5% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 | 50% |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 10 | 10.25 | -2.4% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13.0 | 0% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ WAS | 9 | 17.82 | -49.5% | 5 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.0 | 51% |
| 2026-03-30 | @ MIA | 1 | 20.83 | -95.2% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | — |
| 2026-03-28 | @ CHA | 8 | 23.41 | -65.8% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +13.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs CHI | 14 | 26.18 | -46.5% | 12 | 5/7 | 4/4 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +20.0 | 76% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs OKC | 25 | 25.91 | -3.5% | 8 | 3/7 | 1/3 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -18.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ SAC | 33 | 24.04 | +37.3% | 32 | 11/18 | 4/7 | 7/11 | 3/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +47.0 | 83% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS5.2%3/58 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/58 games
5+ ASSISTS1.7%1/58 games
2+ THREES25.9%15/58 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | PHI | 68 | 34.6 | #333 / 409 | 6.8M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | PHI | 33 | 35.0 | #345 / 422 | 6.5M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER34.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#333of 409 ranked
PH$6.8MDepth
SAMPLE68observed games
Ball security61
Box defence41
Creation32
Efficiency38
Rebounding17
Scoring29
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-9.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+0.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE-0.3 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY13-0.2 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
EXPECTED MIN11.3
SCORING SHARE4.8%
CREATION SHARE4.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR69.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.