Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Brandin Podziemski
Golden State Warriors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER47.92025–26
NBA RANK#134of 409
PH$18.6MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN32.1governed role
NEXT GAME@ Los Angeles Lakers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.5 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN28.3
PTS13.8
REB5.0
AST3.6
STL1.1
BLK0.2
3PM1.9
FG%45.9%
3P%37.8%
FT%79.5%
+/-+0.0
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Golden State Warriors
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL21minutes
EXPECTED29.5pregame reference
DEVIATION-28.8%low minutes deviation
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G19 PTS · 2.2 REB · 2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G22 PTS · 2.2 REB · 2.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G20.1 PTS · 4.2 REB · 3.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G19.7 PTS · 3.8 REB · 3 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS45.4%917/2018
2-POINT51.9%569/1096
3-POINT37.7%348/922
FREE THROW75.4%300/398
EFFECTIVE FG%54.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%56.6%
AST / TO2.74
PTS PER 3615.36rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 105 | 27.06 | 11.63 | 5.19 | 3.65 | 1.74 | 0.84 | 0.17 |
| Away | 107 | 27.83 | 11.79 | 5.39 | 3.58 | 1.54 | 1.15 | 0.21 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.2 | +0.1 | +0.2 | -0.3 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.61 | high |
| minutes | 22 | 28 | 33 | 27.45 | low |
| points | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11.71 | high |
| rebounds | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5.29 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES125.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS20.9%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ LAC | 21 | 29.5 | -28.8% | 10 | 3/10 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +16.0 | 46% |
| 2026-04-10 | @ SAC | 32 | 27.32 | +17.1% | 30 | 9/15 | 6/7 | 3/8 | 9/10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 | 77% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs LAL | 24 | 28.39 | -15.4% | 17 | 7/15 | 6/10 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -17.0 | 54% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SAC | 30 | 29.36 | +2.2% | 20 | 5/11 | 1/5 | 4/6 | 6/6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.0 | 73% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs HOU | 37 | 30.09 | +23% | 18 | 7/11 | 5/5 | 2/6 | 2/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.0 | 76% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CLE | 35 | 28.29 | +23.7% | 25 | 9/15 | 7/10 | 2/5 | 5/6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -11.0 | 71% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SAS | 17 | 30.58 | -44.4% | 14 | 4/8 | 2/3 | 2/5 | 4/4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -9.0 | 72% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ DEN | 32 | 30.36 | +5.4% | 23 | 8/14 | 3/6 | 5/8 | 2/2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8.0 | 77% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs WAS | 33 | 30.85 | +7% | 22 | 6/13 | 3/5 | 3/8 | 7/8 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +7.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs BKN | 35 | 30.73 | +13.9% | 22 | 6/11 | 4/7 | 2/4 | 8/8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +19.0 | 76% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS19.2%15/78 games
10+ REBOUNDS5.1%4/78 games
5+ ASSISTS29.5%23/78 games
2+ THREES57.7%45/78 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | GSW | 80 | 47.9 | #134 / 409 | 18.6M | Core |
| 2024–25 | GSW | 74 | 42.7 | #221 / 422 | 13.2M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | GSW | 75 | 42.2 | #213 / 409 | 12.7M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER47.9descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#134of 409 ranked
PH$18.6MCore
SAMPLE80observed games
Ball security66
Box defence32
Creation50
Efficiency54
Rebounding30
Scoring50
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-4.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+19.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+3.5 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY56-0.5 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
GSW
Golden State Warriors
EXPECTED MIN27.6
SCORING SHARE11.7%
CREATION SHARE12.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.