CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Moses Moody

Golden State Warriors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Golden State Warriors · current teamGUSAArkansas

AF-PLAYER44.62025–26

NBA RANK#187of 409

PH$13.2MRotation · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN9.9governed role

NEXT GAME@ Los Angeles Lakers2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.9 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES308

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS7.9

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

57 games

MIN25.5

PTS11.9

REB3.4

AST1.6

STL0.9

BLK0.6

3PM2.5

FG%44.1%

3P%40.1%

FT%78.7%

+/-+1.5

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Golden State Warriors

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Los Angeles Lakers34.7% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Memphis Grizzlies62.5% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Phoenix Suns38.4% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Denver Nuggets36.9% winProjected 113–117

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Minnesota Timberwolves40.0% winProjected 112–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED1.15pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G14.2 PTS · 3.2 REB · 2.4 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G15 PTS · 3.8 REB · 1.8 AST

creation↑

efficiency↑

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↑

HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 308 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS44.6%844/1893

2-POINT54.6%419/768

3-POINT37.8%425/1125

FREE THROW77.9%313/402

EFFECTIVE FG%55.8%

TRUE SHOOTING%58.6%

AST / TO1.62

PTS PER 3615.54rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

153 HOME · 155 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	153	17.3	7.5	2.35	0.9	1.37	0.52	0.27
Away	155	19.18	8.25	2.54	1.15	1.39	0.63	0.39
Home − Away	—	-1.9	-0.8	-0.2	-0.3	-0.0	-0.1	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

308 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	2	1.03	high
minutes	9	19	27	18.25	high
points	2	7	12	7.88	high
rebounds	1	2	4	2.45	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

308 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-03-02	vs LAC	25	28.53	-12.4%	10	4/12	2/4	2/8	0/0	1	2	3	1	1	0	1	2	-1.0	42%
2026-02-28	vs LAL	30	30.18	-0.6%	12	4/11	0/1	4/10	0/0	0	3	3	3	2	0	2	2	-25.0	55%
2026-02-25	@ MEM	28	31.55	-11.2%	14	4/7	1/2	3/5	3/3	1	1	2	3	1	0	1	2	+6.0	84%
2026-02-24	@ NOP	34	30.58	+11.2%	24	7/13	3/3	4/10	6/8	2	3	5	3	0	0	1	5	+13.0	73%
2026-02-22	vs DEN	35	27.85	+25.7%	23	9/16	5/7	4/9	1/1	1	6	7	5	1	0	2	3	+5.0	70%
2026-02-19	vs BOS	23	30.17	-23.8%	11	4/9	1/2	3/7	0/2	1	2	3	2	0	0	1	1	-27.0	56%
2026-02-11	vs SAS	35	27.88	+25.6%	17	6/12	3/4	3/8	2/2	1	3	4	2	0	0	0	5	-3.0	66%
2026-02-07	@ LAL	39	25.89	+50.6%	25	8/17	3/3	5/14	4/5	1	3	4	2	3	1	0	4	+5.0	65%
2026-02-05	@ PHX	31	24.58	+26.1%	6	2/7	0/0	2/7	0/0	0	8	8	1	0	1	1	1	+4.0	43%
2026-02-03	vs PHI	20	24.22	-17.4%	12	4/8	0/0	4/8	0/0	0	2	2	0	1	0	1	3	-26.0	75%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS17.5%10/57 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/57 games

5+ ASSISTS1.8%1/57 games

2+ THREES63.2%36/57 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	GSW	57	25.5	11.9	3.4	1.6	44.1%	40.1%	78.7%
2024–25	GSW	71	22.6	9.8	2.6	1.3	43.3%	37.8%	79.5%
2023–24	GSW	66	17.6	8.1	3.0	0.9	46.2%	35.8%	78.5%
2022–23	GSW	63	13.0	4.8	1.7	0.8	47.6%	36.3%	69.8%
2021–22	GSW	51	11.5	4.3	1.6	0.5	42.5%	35.8%	80.0%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	GSW	57	44.6	#187 / 409	13.2M	Rotation
2024–25	GSW	84	38.9	#287 / 422	9.8M	Depth
2023–24	GSW	67	43.4	#195 / 409	11.6M	Rotation
2022–23	GSW	75	42.3	#211 / 408	10.1M	Rotation
2021–22	GSW	91	36.9	#313 / 423	7.1M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#187 OF 409

AF-PLAYER44.6descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#187of 409 ranked

PH$13.2MRotation

SAMPLE57observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+39.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+22.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-15.7 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY64-0.9 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

GSW

Golden State Warriors

EXPECTED MIN22.3

SCORING SHARE10.5%

CREATION SHARE5.4%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.9%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.