Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Draymond Green
Golden State Warriors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER37.22025–26
NBA RANK#299of 409
PH$9.4MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN29.6governed role
NEXT GAME@ Los Angeles Lakers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT+0.7 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN27.3
PTS8.2
REB5.5
AST5.5
STL0.8
BLK0.7
3PM1.4
FG%41.3%
3P%32.3%
FT%70.4%
+/--1.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Golden State Warriors
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED27.09pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G3.4 PTS · 4.2 REB · 6.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.2 PTS · 4.6 REB · 6.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.5 PTS · 4.5 REB · 6.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.2 PTS · 4.8 REB · 6 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes↓
rebounding↓
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS45.8%1256/2744
2-POINT55.1%908/1648
3-POINT31.8%348/1096
FREE THROW71.8%478/666
EFFECTIVE FG%52.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.9%
AST / TO2.47
PTS PER 3610.03rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 211 | 29.24 | 7.91 | 6.88 | 6.61 | 0.88 | 1.16 | 0.95 |
| Away | 198 | 29.33 | 8.42 | 6.41 | 6.58 | 0.82 | 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.1 | -0.5 | +0.5 | +0.0 | +0.1 | -0.1 | +0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 4 | 6 | 9 | 6.6 | medium |
| minutes | 25 | 30 | 33.9 | 29.28 | low |
| points | 4 | 8 | 12 | 8.16 | high |
| rebounds | 4 | 6 | 9 | 6.65 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES5814.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES112.7% of games
10+ ASSISTS6716.4%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ SAC | 24 | 26.36 | -8.9% | 7 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.0 | 90% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs LAL | 22 | 27.63 | -20.4% | 2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -7.0 | 53% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SAC | 27 | 27.78 | -2.8% | 1 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 13% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs HOU | 34 | 27.62 | +23.1% | 7 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +6.0 | 88% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CLE | 35 | 26.15 | +33.9% | 8 | 3/11 | 1/3 | 2/8 | 0/0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +6.0 | 36% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SAS | 21 | 26.71 | -21.4% | 14 | 4/7 | 0/1 | 4/6 | 2/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -11.0 | 89% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ DEN | 30 | 27.09 | +10.7% | 13 | 5/11 | 3/4 | 2/7 | 1/1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -14.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs WAS | 32 | 23.05 | +38.8% | 6 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs BKN | 34 | 18.58 | +83% | 7 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 2/4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +11.0 | 61% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ ATL | 26 | 18.47 | +40.8% | 13 | 4/8 | 2/2 | 2/6 | 3/4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -21.0 | 67% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS3.1%2/64 games
10+ REBOUNDS4.7%3/64 games
5+ ASSISTS60.9%39/64 games
2+ THREES42.2%27/64 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | GSW | 64 | 27.3 | 8.2 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 41.3% | 32.3% | 70.4% |
| 2024–25 | GSW | 65 | 29.3 | 9.0 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 41.8% | 32.6% | 68.8% |
| 2023–24 | GSW | 55 | 27.1 | 8.6 | 7.2 | 6.0 | 49.7% | 39.5% | 73.0% |
| 2022–23 | GSW | 73 | 31.5 | 8.4 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 52.7% | 30.5% | 71.3% |
| 2021–22 | GSW | 46 | 28.9 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 52.5% | 29.6% | 65.9% |
| 2020–21 | GSW | 63 | 31.5 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 8.9 | 44.7% | 27.0% | 79.5% |
| 2019–20 | GSW | 43 | 28.4 | 8.0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 39.1% | 27.9% | 75.9% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | GSW | 66 | 37.2 | #299 / 409 | 9.4M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | GSW | 78 | 37.4 | #305 / 422 | 10.3M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | GSW | 56 | 50.5 | #110 / 409 | 16.7M | Core |
| 2022–23 | GSW | 85 | 46.0 | #161 / 408 | 17.2M | Core |
| 2021–22 | GSW | 67 | 47.7 | #132 / 423 | 17.7M | Core |
| 2020–21 | GSW | 65 | 41.7 | #229 / 410 | 13M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | GSW | 44 | 39.2 | #239 / 385 | 9.4M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER37.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#299of 409 ranked
PH$9.4MDepth
SAMPLE66observed games
Ball security16
Box defence40
Creation76
Efficiency32
Rebounding33
Scoring19
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-39.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-0.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE+2.1 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY45+0.7 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
GSW
Golden State Warriors
EXPECTED MIN22.3
SCORING SHARE7.3%
CREATION SHARE19.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.5%
+2.07 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 24 normal-load / 6 nonparticipation games.