CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Caleb Houstan

New Orleans Pelicans current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

New Orleans Pelicans · current teamG

AF-PLAYER33.42024–25

NBA RANK#360of 422

PH$6.3MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN42.0governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Indiana Pacers2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES183

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS4.0

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS1.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

17 games

MIN4.2

PTS2.4

REB0.6

AST0.2

STL0.1

BLK0.1

3PM0.7

FG%52.0%

3P%52.4%

FT%100.0%

+/--0.2

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · New Orleans Pelicans

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Indiana Pacers57.7% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Utah Jazz47.4% winProjected 115–116

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Denver Nuggets32.7% winProjected 113–118

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Denver Nuggets46.1% winProjected 115–115

2026-10-29 · HOMEvs Sacramento Kings60.7% winProjected 113–117

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED0.81pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.9 PTS · 0.3 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 183 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS39.6%238/601

2-POINT48.4%45/93

3-POINT38.0%193/508

FREE THROW84.4%54/64

EFFECTIVE FG%55.7%

TRUE SHOOTING%57.5%

AST / TO1.88

PTS PER 3610.54rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

94 HOME · 89 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	94	14.09	4.18	1.6	0.55	1.15	0.21	0.13
Away	89	12.87	3.71	1.3	0.49	0.96	0.36	0.07
Home − Away	—	+1.2	+0.5	+0.3	+0.1	+0.2	-0.1	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

183 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	0	1	0.52	high
minutes	4	12	23.6	13.49	high
points	0	3	7	3.95	high
rebounds	0	1	2	1.45	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

183 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-01	@ ORL	3	1.41	+112.3%	9	3/3	0/0	3/3	0/0	1	2	3	0	0	0	2	+6.0	150%
2026-03-23	vs MEM	7	1.55	+353.1%	6	2/5	0/0	2/5	0/0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	+4.0	60%
2026-03-20	@ HOU	3	1.07	+181.1%	2	1/1	1/1	0/0	0/0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	-1.0	100%
2026-03-18	@ DAL	2	0.76	+163.5%	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-5.0	0%
2026-03-14	vs MIL	3	0.82	+267.5%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	—
2026-03-04	@ MIL	2	0.58	+242.5%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	-2.0	—
2026-03-01	vs POR	3	—	—	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.0	—
2026-01-17	vs BOS	5	—	—	3	1/1	0/0	1/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	+12.0	150%
2026-01-03	@ TOR	2	—	—	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0%
2025-12-03	vs LAC	5	—	—	3	1/2	0/0	1/2	0/0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.0	75%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/17 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/17 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/17 games

2+ THREES17.6%3/17 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	ATL	17	4.2	2.4	0.6	0.2	52.0%	52.4%	100.0%
2024–25	ORL	56	13.8	4.2	1.3	0.6	42.3%	40.5%	88.2%
2023–24	ORL	59	13.8	4.3	1.4	0.5	38.8%	37.3%	80.8%
2022–23	ORL	51	15.9	3.8	1.9	0.6	36.1%	33.8%	83.3%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2024–25	ORL	62	33.4	#360 / 422	6.3M	Depth
2023–24	ORL	62	33.0	#356 / 409	6.2M	Depth
2022–23	ORL	51	21.9	#406 / 408	5.4M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#360 OF 422

AF-PLAYER33.4descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#360of 422 ranked

PH$6.3MDepth

SAMPLE62observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

EXPECTED MIN1.3

SCORING SHARE1.7%

CREATION SHARE0.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR34.3%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.