Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Bryce McGowens
New Orleans Pelicans current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER44.82025–26
NBA RANK#183of 409
PH$11.1MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN42.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Indiana Pacers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN20.9
PTS8.2
REB2.1
AST1.4
STL0.6
BLK0.2
3PM0.9
FG%48.1%
3P%40.9%
FT%77.4%
+/--2.0
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · New Orleans Pelicans
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.49pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G7.2 PTS · 2.8 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G9.3 PTS · 2.8 REB · 1.2 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes↓
rebounding↑
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.0%298/677
2-POINT50.1%200/399
3-POINT35.3%98/278
FREE THROW76.9%203/264
EFFECTIVE FG%51.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%56.5%
AST / TO1.78
PTS PER 3612.64rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 81 | 15.15 | 5.17 | 1.68 | 0.81 | 0.57 | 0.32 | 0.11 |
| Away | 76 | 17.47 | 6.29 | 1.95 | 1.32 | 0.68 | 0.49 | 0.2 |
| Home − Away | — | -2.3 | -1.1 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.06 | high |
| minutes | 5 | 17 | 24 | 16.27 | high |
| points | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5.71 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.81 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | @ PHX | 13 | 25.63 | -49.3% | 2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 | 53% |
| 2026-03-05 | @ SAC | 27 | 24.49 | +10.3% | 14 | 5/10 | 4/7 | 1/3 | 3/3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +10.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-03 | @ LAL | 16 | 24.96 | -35.9% | 6 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -13.0 | 77% |
| 2026-03-01 | @ LAC | 26 | 24.58 | +5.8% | 6 | 2/5 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -20.0 | 51% |
| 2026-02-28 | @ UTA | 33 | 21.78 | +51.5% | 18 | 6/14 | 2/4 | 4/10 | 2/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +9.0 | 61% |
| 2026-02-26 | @ UTA | 31 | 19.81 | +56.5% | 8 | 4/9 | 4/5 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.0 | 44% |
| 2026-02-24 | vs GSW | 18 | 22.1 | -18.5% | 7 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 | 70% |
| 2026-02-21 | vs PHI | 27 | 17.55 | +53.9% | 13 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 2/4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +3.0 | 96% |
| 2026-02-20 | vs MIL | 30 | 12.57 | +138.6% | 10 | 5/12 | 5/9 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15.0 | 40% |
| 2026-02-11 | vs MIA | 21 | 9.44 | +122.5% | 12 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 7/8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.0 | 70% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS7.3%3/41 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/41 games
5+ ASSISTS4.9%2/41 games
2+ THREES24.4%10/41 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NOP | 41 | 44.8 | #183 / 409 | 11.1M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | CHA | 59 | 33.4 | #349 / 409 | 6.4M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | CHA | 46 | 25.9 | #399 / 408 | 5.4M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER44.8descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#183of 409 ranked
PH$11.1MRotation
SAMPLE41observed games
Ball security75
Box defence27
Creation47
Efficiency63
Rebounding14
Scoring31
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-39.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+21.1 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
EXPECTED MIN11.8
SCORING SHARE6.2%
CREATION SHARE4.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR58.2%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.