Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER66.72025–26
NBA RANK#4of 409
PH$28.7MHigh Value · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN40.4governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Oklahoma City Thunder2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT-2.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN29.2
PTS24.8
REB11.5
AST3.1
STL1.0
BLK3.1
3PM1.9
FG%51.0%
3P%35.0%
FT%82.5%
+/-+10.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · San Antonio Spurs
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED18.85pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G10.2 PTS · 4.6 REB · 1.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G30 PTS · 15.8 REB · 4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G17.5 PTS · 8.7 REB · 2.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G25.9 PTS · 12.3 REB · 4.2 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS48.3%1498/3099
2-POINT56.6%1108/1959
3-POINT34.2%390/1140
FREE THROW81.6%812/995
EFFECTIVE FG%54.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%59.4%
AST / TO1.13
PTS PER 3627.62rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 90 | 30.7 | 24.34 | 11.53 | 3.56 | 2.41 | 1.16 | 3.48 |
| Away | 90 | 30.09 | 22.3 | 10.51 | 3.51 | 1.92 | 1.12 | 3.47 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.6 | +2.0 | +1.0 | +0.1 | +0.5 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.53 | high |
| minutes | 26 | 31 | 34 | 30.39 | low |
| points | 16 | 22.5 | 30 | 23.32 | medium |
| rebounds | 8 | 11 | 14 | 11.02 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES11262.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES42.2% of games
10+ ASSISTS31.7%
10+ BLOCKS21.1%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | vs PHI | 16 | 25.87 | -38.2% | 17 | 7/11 | 6/8 | 1/3 | 2/4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7.0 | 67% |
| 2026-04-04 | @ DEN | 40 | 24.43 | +63.8% | 34 | 8/17 | 6/11 | 2/6 | 16/17 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4.0 | 69% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ GSW | 29 | 27.36 | +6% | 41 | 16/22 | 14/16 | 2/6 | 7/8 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +16.0 | 80% |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CHI | 31 | 28.1 | +10.3% | 41 | 17/27 | 14/21 | 3/6 | 4/4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +15.0 | 71% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ MIL | 31 | 26.87 | +15.4% | 23 | 7/21 | 7/18 | 0/3 | 9/10 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +14.0 | 45% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ MEM | 27 | 27.55 | -2% | 19 | 8/15 | 7/12 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +34.0 | 58% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ MIA | 26 | 28.61 | -9.1% | 26 | 11/22 | 10/15 | 1/7 | 3/3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +19.0 | 56% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs IND | 26 | 25.31 | +2.7% | 20 | 8/18 | 7/14 | 1/4 | 3/3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +14.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-19 | vs PHX | 35 | 25.51 | +37.2% | 34 | 10/20 | 8/13 | 2/7 | 12/12 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +18.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ SAC | 22 | 26.66 | -17.5% | 18 | 7/14 | 5/7 | 2/7 | 2/2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +23.0 | 61% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS68.3%43/63 games
10+ REBOUNDS65.1%41/63 games
5+ ASSISTS15.9%10/63 games
2+ THREES49.2%31/63 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | SAS | 85 | 66.7 | #4 / 409 | 28.7M | High Value |
| 2024–25 | SAS | 46 | 60.8 | #28 / 422 | 22.3M | Core |
| 2023–24 | SAS | 71 | 60.7 | #23 / 409 | 24.9M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER66.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#4of 409 ranked
PH$28.7MHigh Value
SAMPLE85observed games
Ball security64
Box defence70
Creation29
Efficiency68
Rebounding76
Scoring94
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+10.5 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+5.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+10.0 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY100-2.2 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
EXPECTED MIN25.0
SCORING SHARE21.0%
CREATION SHARE11.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.9%
+3.55 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 62 normal-load / 6 nonparticipation games.