Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jordan Hawkins
New Orleans Pelicans current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER22.32025–26
NBA RANK#407of 409
PH$5.3MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN42.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Indiana Pacers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN13.6
PTS4.6
REB1.6
AST0.8
STL0.2
BLK0.2
3PM0.8
FG%33.3%
3P%32.0%
FT%84.0%
+/--2.5
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · New Orleans Pelicans
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL33minutes
EXPECTED12.46pregame reference
DEVIATION+164.9%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G10.8 PTS · 2.6 REB · 1.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2 PTS · 1.6 REB · 0.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.1 PTS · 1.4 REB · 1.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.7 PTS · 1.9 REB · 0.8 AST
creation↑
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS37.0%455/1230
2-POINT40.5%197/487
3-POINT34.7%258/743
FREE THROW83.6%168/201
EFFECTIVE FG%47.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%50.7%
AST / TO1.37
PTS PER 3615.58rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 84 | 17.88 | 7.77 | 2.06 | 0.95 | 1.58 | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| Away | 83 | 19.11 | 8.23 | 2.43 | 1.12 | 1.51 | 0.45 | 0.18 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.2 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.2 | +0.1 | -0.2 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.04 | high |
| minutes | 9.2 | 18 | 26 | 18.49 | high |
| points | 2 | 6 | 13 | 8 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.25 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ MIN | 33 | 12.46 | +164.9% | 13 | 4/18 | 3/14 | 1/4 | 4/4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -15.0 | 33% |
| 2026-04-10 | @ BOS | 23 | 12.28 | +87.3% | 20 | 8/15 | 6/11 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3.0 | 63% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ORL | 26 | 7.95 | +227% | 7 | 2/7 | 0/1 | 2/6 | 1/1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2.0 | 47% |
| 2026-04-03 | @ SAC | 21 | 4.54 | +362.8% | 14 | 5/7 | 1/2 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs HOU | 5 | 3.88 | +28.9% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ TOR | 21 | 0.31 | +6664.8% | 5 | 2/8 | 1/4 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 | 31% |
| 2026-03-11 | vs TOR | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 | — |
| 2026-03-01 | @ LAC | 4 | 1.36 | +195% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | 0% |
| 2026-02-28 | @ UTA | 1 | 1.22 | -18% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| 2026-02-21 | vs PHI | 1 | 1.82 | -45.2% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS2.1%1/47 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/47 games
5+ ASSISTS2.1%1/47 games
2+ THREES23.4%11/47 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NOP | 47 | 22.3 | #407 / 409 | 5.3M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | NOP | 55 | 29.2 | #397 / 422 | 6.2M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | NOP | 69 | 32.7 | #359 / 409 | 6.6M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER22.3descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#407of 409 ranked
PH$5.3MDepth
SAMPLE47observed games
Ball security70
Box defence17
Creation19
Efficiency11
Rebounding20
Scoring30
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-94.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-5.5 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+28.4 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
EXPECTED MIN7.8
SCORING SHARE3.4%
CREATION SHARE3.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR58.0%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.