CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Anthony Edwards

Minnesota Timberwolves current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Minnesota Timberwolves · current teamGUSAGeorgia

AF-PLAYER54.72025–26

NBA RANK#57of 409

PH$24.1MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN42.0governed role

NEXT GAME@ Miami Heat2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES436

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS24.5

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS5.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS4.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

59 games

MIN35.2

PTS28.9

REB5.0

AST3.7

STL1.4

BLK0.8

3PM3.4

FG%48.6%

3P%39.8%

FT%79.3%

+/-+2.7

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Miami Heat43.6% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Orlando Magic47.5% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-25 · HOMEvs Toronto Raptors59.1% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Cleveland Cavaliers40.7% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Golden State Warriors60.0% winProjected 112–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED9.42pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G4.4 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G26.2 PTS · 4.6 REB · 3.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G3 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G28.6 PTS · 4.8 REB · 3.9 AST

creation→

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding→

scoring→

STEADY historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 436 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS45.2%3747/8293

2-POINT51.2%2452/4786

3-POINT36.9%1295/3507

FREE THROW80.0%1892/2366

EFFECTIVE FG%53.0%

TRUE SHOOTING%57.2%

AST / TO1.43

PTS PER 3625.29rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

217 HOME · 219 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	217	34.49	23.57	5.26	4.13	2.81	1.35	0.64
Away	219	35.25	25.42	5.28	4.12	3.13	1.31	0.65
Home − Away	—	-0.8	-1.9	-0.0	+0.0	-0.3	+0.0	-0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

436 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	2	4	6	4.13	high
minutes	31.6	36	38.6	34.87	low
points	16	25	32	24.5	medium
rebounds	3	5	7	5.27	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

436 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES347.8% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS71.6%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	@ HOU	27	6.67	+304.8%	22	7/14	4/7	3/7	5/6	1	1	2	3	0	0	4	4	-6.0	66%
2026-04-03	@ PHI	26	4.03	+545.9%	8	3/15	3/8	0/7	2/3	0	2	2	3	2	1	2	3	-14.0	25%
2026-03-15	@ OKC	37	34.14	+8.4%	19	6/17	4/12	2/5	5/10	1	5	6	5	1	1	6	5	-7.0	44%
2026-03-13	@ GSW	37	34.05	+8.6%	42	13/22	9/13	4/9	12/12	0	8	8	5	1	1	2	2	+10.0	77%
2026-03-10	@ LAL	31	34.78	-10.9%	14	2/15	1/5	1/10	9/10	0	2	2	4	1	1	2	3	-15.0	36%
2026-03-07	vs ORL	32	35.15	-9%	34	8/18	3/9	5/9	13/14	1	2	3	2	2	2	0	3	-3.0	70%
2026-03-05	vs TOR	34	34.96	-2.7%	22	8/12	3/4	5/8	1/2	0	4	4	3	1	0	4	1	+15.0	85%
2026-03-03	vs MEM	37	36.34	+1.8%	41	15/29	8/16	7/13	4/4	0	6	6	2	5	1	2	2	+13.0	67%
2026-03-01	@ DEN	39	35.37	+10.3%	21	9/19	6/10	3/9	0/2	0	3	3	6	1	2	2	2	+2.0	53%
2026-02-26	@ LAC	36	35.42	+1.6%	31	12/24	10/18	2/6	5/6	0	3	3	5	1	0	3	2	-2.0	58%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS83.0%49/59 games

10+ REBOUNDS3.4%2/59 games

5+ ASSISTS32.2%19/59 games

2+ THREES78.0%46/59 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	MIN	59	35.2	28.9	5.0	3.7	48.6%	39.8%	79.3%
2024–25	MIN	75	36.4	27.4	5.8	4.5	44.5%	39.6%	82.9%
2023–24	MIN	79	35.1	25.9	5.4	5.1	46.1%	35.8%	83.6%
2022–23	MIN	79	36.0	24.6	5.8	4.4	45.9%	36.8%	75.6%
2021–22	MIN	72	34.3	21.3	4.8	3.8	44.1%	35.7%	78.6%
2020–21	MIN	72	32.1	19.3	4.7	2.9	41.7%	32.9%	77.6%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	MIN	69	54.7	#57 / 409	24.1M	Core
2024–25	MIN	90	55.0	#63 / 422	24.9M	Core
2023–24	MIN	95	55.4	#58 / 409	25.2M	High Value
2022–23	MIN	86	50.6	#91 / 408	22.7M	Core
2021–22	MIN	79	50.1	#103 / 423	21.6M	Core
2020–21	MIN	72	42.4	#217 / 410	14.1M	Rotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#57 OF 409

AF-PLAYER54.7descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#57of 409 ranked

PH$24.1MCore

SAMPLE69observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE-8.9 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+1.0 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+7.2 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY71-0.3 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

EXPECTED MIN26.2

SCORING SHARE24.2%

CREATION SHARE14.1%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR69.4%

-2.91 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 27 normal-load / 7 nonparticipation games.