Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Tidjane Salaun
Charlotte Hornets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER45.12025–26
NBA RANK#175of 409
PH$10.5MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN9.9governed role
NEXT GAME@ Brooklyn Nets2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.6 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN15.9
PTS6.2
REB4.1
AST0.8
STL0.4
BLK0.2
3PM1.0
FG%50.3%
3P%43.4%
FT%65.0%
+/--0.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Charlotte Hornets
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL4minutes
EXPECTED—pregame reference
DEVIATION—expected minutes unavailable
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.8 PTS · 3.6 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G7.4 PTS · 3.7 REB · 1 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS39.6%178/449
2-POINT47.2%92/195
3-POINT33.9%86/254
FREE THROW70.1%82/117
EFFECTIVE FG%49.2%
TRUE SHOOTING%52.3%
AST / TO1.17
PTS PER 3611.47rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 44 | 17.95 | 5.39 | 3.98 | 0.91 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.18 |
| Away | 46 | 18.59 | 6.24 | 4.74 | 1.07 | 0.91 | 0.5 | 0.28 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.6 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.2 | +0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.99 | high |
| minutes | 13 | 18 | 23 | 18.28 | medium |
| points | 2 | 5 | 10 | 5.82 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4.37 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES33.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ NYK | 4 | — | — | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-03 | vs DAL | 1 | 9.35 | -89.3% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | 0% |
| 2026-02-22 | @ WAS | 21 | 9.39 | +123.6% | 9 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.0 | 116% |
| 2026-02-20 | vs CLE | 17 | 7.03 | +141.7% | 3 | 1/7 | 0/1 | 1/6 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -15.0 | 21% |
| 2026-02-19 | vs HOU | 20 | 3.7 | +439.8% | 9 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -9.0 | 77% |
| 2026-02-11 | vs ATL | 15 | 1.59 | +845.3% | 3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.0 | 54% |
| 2026-01-29 | @ DAL | 10 | 7.51 | +33.1% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9.0 | 50% |
| 2026-01-26 | vs PHI | 12 | 11.61 | +3.4% | 7 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -13.0 | 70% |
| 2026-01-22 | @ ORL | 18 | 10.96 | +64.3% | 13 | 5/7 | 2/4 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 | 93% |
| 2026-01-18 | @ DEN | 22 | 12.96 | +69.7% | 13 | 6/8 | 5/6 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +6.0 | 77% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS2.8%1/36 games
10+ REBOUNDS5.6%2/36 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/36 games
2+ THREES25.0%9/36 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CHA | 37 | 45.1 | #175 / 409 | 10.5M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | CHA | 54 | 25.7 | #413 / 422 | 5.8M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER45.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#175of 409 ranked
PH$10.5MRotation
SAMPLE37observed games
Ball security52
Box defence32
Creation17
Efficiency68
Rebounding51
Scoring32
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+41.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+55.2 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-5.9 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY38-0.6 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
EXPECTED MIN9.6
SCORING SHARE5.1%
CREATION SHARE2.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR57.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.