Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Royce O'Neale
Charlotte Hornets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER40.42025–26
NBA RANK#242of 409
PH$12.5MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN19.8governed role
NEXT GAME@ Brooklyn Nets2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN28.7
PTS9.8
REB4.8
AST2.8
STL1.1
BLK0.4
3PM2.7
FG%41.6%
3P%40.3%
FT%72.2%
+/--1.8
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Charlotte Hornets
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED20.47pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G2.8 PTS · 1.8 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.4 PTS · 3.6 REB · 1.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G4.8 PTS · 2.4 REB · 1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G8.6 PTS · 4.6 REB · 2.5 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS41.9%1464/3494
2-POINT50.5%453/897
3-POINT38.9%1011/2597
FREE THROW75.5%241/319
EFFECTIVE FG%56.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%57.5%
AST / TO2.47
PTS PER 3610.06rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 262 | 28.62 | 8.29 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2 | 0.9 | 0.56 |
| Away | 259 | 28.8 | 7.75 | 4.96 | 2.74 | 1.88 | 0.93 | 0.4 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.2 | +0.5 | +0.4 | -0.0 | +0.1 | -0.0 | +0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2.72 | high |
| minutes | 24 | 29.1 | 34 | 28.71 | low |
| points | 3 | 8 | 12 | 8.02 | high |
| rebounds | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5.18 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES203.8% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.2% of games
10+ ASSISTS20.4%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ LAL | 22 | 18.06 | +21.8% | 11 | 4/10 | 2/3 | 2/7 | 1/2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 51% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs HOU | 17 | 16.53 | +2.8% | 3 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -21.0 | 38% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ CHA | 17 | 15.14 | +12.3% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ ORL | 31 | 14.83 | +109.1% | 14 | 4/8 | 0/1 | 4/7 | 2/2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3.0 | 79% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs DEN | 28 | 13.06 | +114.4% | 17 | 5/8 | 0/0 | 5/8 | 2/2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +10.0 | 96% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ MIN | 29 | 27.15 | +6.8% | 9 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +4.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-16 | @ BOS | 19 | 27.63 | -31.2% | 6 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-13 | @ TOR | 28 | 27.57 | +1.6% | 6 | 2/9 | 0/0 | 2/9 | 0/0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -8.0 | 33% |
| 2026-03-10 | @ MIL | 32 | 26.63 | +20.2% | 21 | 7/11 | 0/0 | 7/11 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +8.0 | 96% |
| 2026-03-08 | vs CHA | 32 | 25.77 | +24.2% | 3 | 1/6 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 0/0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9.0 | 25% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS1.4%1/73 games
10+ REBOUNDS2.7%2/73 games
5+ ASSISTS13.7%10/73 games
2+ THREES75.3%55/73 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | PHX | 73 | 28.7 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 41.6% | 40.3% | 72.2% |
| 2024–25 | PHX | 75 | 24.6 | 9.1 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 42.3% | 40.6% | 73.1% |
| 2023–24 | PHXBKN | 79 | 24.7 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 39.7% | 37.0% | 68.6% |
| 2022–23 | BKN | 76 | 31.7 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 38.6% | 38.8% | 72.5% |
| 2021–22 | UTA | 76 | 31.2 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 45.6% | 38.5% | 78.8% |
| 2020–21 | UTA | 71 | 31.6 | 7.0 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 44.4% | 38.5% | 84.8% |
| 2019–20 | UTA | 71 | 28.9 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 43.3% | 37.7% | 76.4% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | PHX | 79 | 40.4 | #242 / 409 | 12.5M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | PHX | 75 | 43.8 | #207 / 422 | 13.1M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | PHX | 83 | 37.0 | #305 / 409 | 9.2M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | BKN | 80 | 29.9 | #374 / 408 | 7.8M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | UTA | 82 | 37.9 | #298 / 423 | 10.9M | Rotation |
| 2020–21 | UTA | 82 | 41.2 | #241 / 410 | 13.4M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | UTA | 78 | 36.7 | #273 / 385 | 10.9M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER40.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#242of 409 ranked
PH$12.5MRotation
SAMPLE79observed games
Ball security47
Box defence40
Creation39
Efficiency56
Rebounding27
Scoring22
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+4.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-10.1 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-8.6 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY48-1.2 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
PHX
Phoenix Suns
EXPECTED MIN27.1
SCORING SHARE8.8%
CREATION SHARE11.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR84.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.