Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Grant Williams
Charlotte Hornets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER40.22025–26
NBA RANK#249of 409
PH$8.3MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN16.5governed role
NEXT GAME@ Brooklyn Nets2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN19.9
PTS7.1
REB4.0
AST1.6
STL0.5
BLK0.5
3PM1.4
FG%42.4%
3P%38.0%
FT%80.4%
+/-+5.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Charlotte Hornets
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL21minutes
EXPECTED20.44pregame reference
DEVIATION+2.7%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G5.4 PTS · 3.2 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G4.2 PTS · 3.4 REB · 1.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.1 PTS · 3.4 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.8 PTS · 3.1 REB · 1.5 AST
creation↓
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS45.0%1021/2270
2-POINT54.9%526/958
3-POINT37.7%495/1312
FREE THROW77.6%427/550
EFFECTIVE FG%55.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%59.0%
AST / TO1.45
PTS PER 3611.39rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 206 | 22.33 | 6.94 | 3.67 | 1.61 | 1.17 | 0.52 | 0.4 |
| Away | 207 | 23.05 | 7.42 | 3.73 | 1.32 | 1.22 | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.1 | +0.3 | -0.1 | -0.0 | -0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.47 | high |
| minutes | 15.9 | 22.9 | 30.4 | 22.69 | medium |
| points | 2 | 6 | 12 | 7.18 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3.7 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES51.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS10.2%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ NYK | 21 | 20.44 | +2.7% | 8 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +16.0 | 100% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs DET | 22 | 17.52 | +25.6% | 2 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 | 20% |
| 2026-04-07 | @ BOS | 26 | 17.12 | +51.8% | 9 | 3/8 | 0/1 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -13.0 | 56% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ MIN | 19 | 16.71 | +13.7% | 8 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +12.0 | 103% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs PHX | 21 | 15.52 | +35.3% | 10 | 3/10 | 1/2 | 2/8 | 2/2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +8.0 | 46% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ BKN | 20 | 15.18 | +31.7% | 10 | 4/7 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 | 71% |
| 2026-03-28 | vs PHI | 25 | 16.97 | +47.3% | 9 | 2/5 | 0/1 | 2/4 | 3/6 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +5.0 | 59% |
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYK | 15 | 17.39 | -13.7% | 5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.0 | 87% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs SAC | 17 | 15.14 | +12.3% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +9.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs MEM | 19 | 14.51 | +31% | 5 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 | 83% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS2.9%1/34 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/34 games
5+ ASSISTS8.8%3/34 games
2+ THREES47.1%16/34 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CHA | 34 | 19.9 | 7.1 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 42.4% | 38.0% | 80.4% |
| 2024–25 | CHA | 16 | 29.9 | 10.4 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 43.9% | 36.5% | 83.8% |
| 2023–24 | CHADAL | 76 | 28.0 | 10.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 45.6% | 37.5% | 75.7% |
| 2022–23 | BOS | 79 | 25.9 | 8.1 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 45.4% | 39.5% | 77.0% |
| 2021–22 | BOS | 77 | 24.4 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 47.4% | 41.1% | 90.5% |
| 2020–21 | BOS | 63 | 18.1 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 43.5% | 37.2% | 58.8% |
| 2019–20 | BOS | 68 | 15.2 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 41.6% | 25.3% | 72.2% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CHA | 36 | 40.2 | #249 / 409 | 8.3M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | CHA | 76 | 37.5 | #296 / 409 | 9.7M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | BOS | 94 | 38.4 | #276 / 408 | 10.6M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | BOS | 100 | 38.6 | #281 / 423 | 11.6M | Rotation |
| 2020–21 | BOS | 77 | 28.2 | #381 / 410 | 6.2M | Depth |
| 2019–20 | BOS | 88 | 27.8 | #362 / 385 | 6.1M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER40.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#249of 409 ranked
PH$8.3MDepth
SAMPLE36observed games
Ball security53
Box defence33
Creation31
Efficiency50
Rebounding45
Scoring27
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+9.4 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-3.2 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY51-1.3 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
EXPECTED MIN15.8
SCORING SHARE6.0%
CREATION SHARE6.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR72.9%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.