CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Jamal Murray

Denver Nuggets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Denver Nuggets · current teamGCanadaKentucky

AF-PLAYER60.72025–26

NBA RANK#17of 409

PH$27.9MHigh Value · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN40.0governed role

NEXT GAME@ Oklahoma City Thunder2026-10-22 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES368

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS21.3

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS4.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS6.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

70 games

MIN35.4

PTS24.9

REB4.3

AST7.2

STL0.9

BLK0.4

3PM3.1

FG%48.0%

3P%42.5%

FT%88.0%

+/-+5.3

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Denver Nuggets

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-22 · AWAY@ Oklahoma City Thunder33.0% winProjected 112–117

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs New Orleans Pelicans67.3% winProjected 113–118

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Golden State Warriors63.1% winProjected 113–117

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ New Orleans Pelicans53.9% winProjected 115–115

2026-10-30 · AWAY@ Phoenix Suns44.6% winProjected 114–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED37.29pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G7 PTS · 1 REB · 3.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G24.6 PTS · 3.8 REB · 8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G10.7 PTS · 1.8 REB · 4.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G21 PTS · 4.9 REB · 7.2 AST

creation→

efficiency↑

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 368 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS47.1%2866/6087

2-POINT51.4%1936/3769

3-POINT40.1%930/2318

FREE THROW86.9%1175/1352

EFFECTIVE FG%54.7%

TRUE SHOOTING%58.6%

AST / TO2.76

PTS PER 3622.57rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

188 HOME · 180 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	188	33.49	20.62	4.05	6.06	2.57	1.09	0.4
Away	180	34.45	22	4.07	5.95	2.48	1.14	0.38
Home − Away	—	-1.0	-1.4	-0.0	+0.1	+0.1	-0.1	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

368 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	4	6	8	6.01	medium
minutes	30.5	35	38	33.96	low
points	14	21	28	21.3	medium
rebounds	2	4	6	4.06	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

368 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES4311.7% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games

10+ ASSISTS4111.1%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-06	vs POR	38	37.7	+0.8%	20	7/15	4/8	3/7	3/3	0	1	1	7	0	2	1	4	+11.0	61%
2026-04-04	vs SAS	46	34.97	+31.6%	15	6/13	3/6	3/7	0/0	0	4	4	10	1	0	2	5	+5.0	58%
2026-03-29	vs GSW	34	34.94	-2.7%	20	7/12	5/8	2/4	4/5	0	6	6	7	2	1	4	1	+13.0	70%
2026-03-27	vs UTA	39	34.81	+12%	31	9/18	4/9	5/9	8/8	0	6	6	14	1	0	1	1	+8.0	72%
2026-03-24	@ PHX	38	34.84	+9.1%	21	7/18	4/9	3/9	4/4	0	1	1	6	0	1	2	1	+3.0	53%
2026-03-20	vs TOR	40	33.66	+18.8%	31	10/18	8/12	2/6	9/10	0	5	5	6	1	0	1	2	+2.0	69%
2026-03-18	@ MEM	41	33.24	+23.3%	19	6/13	4/7	2/6	5/5	0	8	8	12	0	0	1	3	+3.0	63%
2026-03-17	vs PHI	26	31.55	-17.6%	12	3/7	2/4	1/3	5/7	2	4	6	4	0	0	2	2	+23.0	60%
2026-03-14	@ LAL	36	32.08	+12.2%	5	1/14	0/7	1/7	2/3	1	5	6	6	2	0	2	6	-9.0	16%
2026-03-12	@ SAS	40	31.02	+28.9%	39	11/21	9/15	2/6	15/15	0	2	2	7	1	0	4	2	+13.0	71%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS75.7%53/70 games

10+ REBOUNDS1.4%1/70 games

5+ ASSISTS77.1%54/70 games

2+ THREES74.3%52/70 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	DEN	70	35.4	24.9	4.3	7.2	48.0%	42.5%	88.0%
2024–25	DEN	67	36.1	21.4	3.9	6.0	47.4%	39.3%	88.6%
2023–24	DEN	59	31.6	21.2	4.1	6.5	48.1%	42.5%	85.3%
2022–23	DEN	65	32.8	20.0	4.0	6.2	45.4%	39.8%	83.3%
2020–21	DEN	48	35.5	21.2	4.0	4.8	47.7%	40.8%	86.9%
2019–20	DEN	59	32.3	18.5	4.0	4.8	45.6%	34.6%	88.1%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	DEN	76	60.7	#17 / 409	27.9M	High Value
2024–25	DEN	81	51.9	#98 / 422	22.1M	Core
2023–24	DEN	71	54.9	#63 / 409	22.8M	Core
2022–23	DEN	85	53.5	#67 / 408	24.2M	Core
2020–21	DEN	50	52.5	#84 / 410	19.9M	Core
2019–20	DEN	78	52.3	#72 / 385	23.5M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#17 OF 409

AF-PLAYER60.7descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#17of 409 ranked

PH$27.9MHigh Value

SAMPLE76observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+8.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+19.1 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+4.3 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY73-0.4 pp next-game What If impact

EMERGING

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

DEN

Denver Nuggets

EXPECTED MIN32.2

SCORING SHARE20.5%

CREATION SHARE25.3%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.0%

+1.18 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 57 normal-load / 4 nonparticipation games.