Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Dennis Schroder
Charlotte Hornets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER37.22025–26
NBA RANK#297of 409
PH$9.5MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ Brooklyn Nets2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN24.3
PTS11.0
REB2.7
AST4.8
STL0.8
BLK0.2
3PM1.1
FG%40.2%
3P%33.5%
FT%84.4%
+/--3.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Charlotte Hornets
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED17.61pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G2.4 PTS · 0.6 REB · 1.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8.2 PTS · 1.6 REB · 4.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G4.5 PTS · 1.4 REB · 2.7 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G8.3 PTS · 2.2 REB · 3.9 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.1%2338/5424
2-POINT47.5%1646/3462
3-POINT35.3%692/1962
FREE THROW84.5%1291/1527
EFFECTIVE FG%49.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.6%
AST / TO2.42
PTS PER 3617.27rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 230 | 29.4 | 13.8 | 3.33 | 5.17 | 1.43 | 0.88 | 0.19 |
| Away | 243 | 29.3 | 14.34 | 2.76 | 5 | 1.49 | 0.8 | 0.17 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.1 | -0.5 | +0.6 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5.08 | high |
| minutes | 23.2 | 30 | 35 | 29.35 | low |
| points | 8 | 13 | 21 | 14.08 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3.04 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES265.5% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS296.1%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ ATL | 16 | 19.51 | -18% | 7 | 2/8 | 1/6 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9.0 | 39% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs ATL | 15 | 19.67 | -23.7% | 5 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -22.0 | 56% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ GSW | 20 | 18.62 | +7.4% | 12 | 4/7 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.0 | 72% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ LAL | 19 | 18.18 | +4.5% | 9 | 3/7 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -14.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs MIA | 20 | 18.15 | +10.2% | 8 | 3/7 | 3/6 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 | 48% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs MIA | 28 | 17.32 | +61.7% | 4 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.0 | 34% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs ORL | 16 | 17.99 | -11.1% | 6 | 3/5 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ NOP | 13 | 19.04 | -31.7% | 1 | 0/4 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.0 | 10% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ CHI | 16 | 19.46 | -17.8% | 9 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 6/6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.0 | 68% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ MIL | 16 | 22.4 | -28.6% | 3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -8.0 | 62% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS14.1%9/64 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/64 games
5+ ASSISTS50.0%32/64 games
2+ THREES31.3%20/64 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CLESAC | 64 | 24.3 | 11.0 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 40.2% | 33.5% | 84.4% |
| 2024–25 | DETBKNGSW | 75 | 28.1 | 13.1 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 40.6% | 34.2% | 83.8% |
| 2023–24 | BKNTOR | 79 | 31.2 | 14.2 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 43.7% | 37.5% | 83.9% |
| 2022–23 | LAL | 66 | 30.1 | 12.6 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 41.5% | 32.9% | 85.7% |
| 2021–22 | HOUBOS | 64 | 28.7 | 13.6 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 43.1% | 34.4% | 85.3% |
| 2020–21 | LAL | 61 | 32.1 | 15.4 | 3.5 | 5.8 | 43.7% | 33.5% | 84.8% |
| 2019–20 | OKC | 64 | 30.8 | 19.1 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 47.1% | 38.6% | 83.8% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CLE | 81 | 37.2 | #297 / 409 | 9.5M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | DET | 81 | 41.2 | #247 / 422 | 12.6M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | TOR | 79 | 44.3 | #185 / 409 | 15.4M | Core |
| 2022–23 | LAL | 83 | 35.5 | #308 / 408 | 9.7M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | HOU | 64 | 40.9 | #243 / 423 | 11.7M | Rotation |
| 2020–21 | LAL | 68 | 41.8 | #228 / 410 | 13.4M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | OKC | 71 | 45.8 | #142 / 385 | 17.5M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER37.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#297of 409 ranked
PH$9.5MDepth
SAMPLE81observed games
Ball security45
Box defence25
Creation77
Efficiency24
Rebounding12
Scoring45
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT-14.1 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-22.5 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
EXPECTED MIN18.3
SCORING SHARE6.4%
CREATION SHARE13.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR86.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
SAC
Sacramento Kings
EXPECTED MIN18.6
SCORING SHARE11.6%
CREATION SHARE20.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR67.7%
-4.10 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 16 normal-load / 5 nonparticipation games.