CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Kevin Huerter

Detroit Pistons current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Detroit Pistons · current teamG-FUSAMaryland

AF-PLAYER40.32025–26

NBA RANK#246of 409

PH$10.7MRotation · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Boston Celtics2026-10-20 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES467

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS11.7

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

64 games

MIN22.3

PTS9.7

REB3.5

AST2.6

STL0.9

BLK0.5

3PM1.4

FG%44.3%

3P%30.6%

FT%77.6%

+/-+1.1

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Detroit Pistons

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-20 · HOMEvs Boston Celtics54.7% winProjected 111–113

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Miami Heat49.1% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Philadelphia 76ers49.0% winProjected 112–112

2026-10-27 · AWAY@ New York Knicks34.2% winProjected 110–114

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Charlotte Hornets59.7% winProjected 111–114

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED22.33pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G5.4 PTS · 2.2 REB · 2.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G7 PTS · 2.6 REB · 3 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G7.5 PTS · 2.5 REB · 2.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G7.1 PTS · 3.5 REB · 3 AST

creation↑

efficiency→

minutes↑

rebounding↓

scoring↓

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 467 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS44.5%2059/4630

2-POINT55.1%1094/1986

3-POINT36.5%965/2644

FREE THROW76.5%359/469

EFFECTIVE FG%54.9%

TRUE SHOOTING%56.3%

AST / TO2.52

PTS PER 3615.26rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

239 HOME · 228 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	239	28.03	12.31	3.67	2.86	2.24	0.87	0.38
Away	228	26.92	10.97	3.21	2.94	1.89	0.98	0.36
Home − Away	—	+1.1	+1.3	+0.5	-0.1	+0.3	-0.1	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

467 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	3	4	2.9	high
minutes	21	28.9	34	27.49	low
points	6	11	17	11.65	high
rebounds	2	3	5	3.44	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

467 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES91.9% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS30.6%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	@ CHA	16	25.19	-36.5%	5	2/5	1/2	1/3	0/0	0	3	3	3	1	1	0	0	+22.0	50%
2026-04-06	@ ORL	32	23.64	+35.4%	17	7/14	4/7	3/7	0/0	0	3	3	5	4	0	4	2	-13.0	61%
2026-04-04	@ PHI	25	22.32	+12%	5	2/9	1/3	1/6	0/0	1	4	5	6	0	0	2	3	-4.0	28%
2026-04-02	vs MIN	22	22.22	-1%	12	4/6	2/3	2/3	2/2	0	4	4	2	0	0	0	1	-7.0	87%
2026-03-31	vs TOR	22	19.59	+12.3%	8	2/6	0/2	2/4	2/2	1	1	2	3	1	0	4	1	-1.0	58%
2026-03-30	@ OKC	38	17.23	+120.5%	17	7/16	4/7	3/9	0/1	0	6	6	6	1	0	1	2	-11.0	52%
2026-03-28	@ MIN	22	17.15	+28.3%	11	5/11	4/7	1/4	0/0	0	2	2	1	1	0	2	1	+9.0	50%
2026-03-25	vs ATL	20	15.94	+25.4%	8	4/9	4/7	0/2	0/0	1	1	2	2	2	0	1	2	-5.0	44%
2026-03-23	vs LAL	20	16.03	+24.8%	7	3/6	2/3	1/3	0/0	0	1	1	3	2	0	0	2	+11.0	58%
2026-03-19	@ WAS	23	17.1	+34.5%	14	6/10	6/8	0/2	2/2	1	4	5	2	4	0	0	1	+26.0	64%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS4.7%3/64 games

10+ REBOUNDS3.1%2/64 games

5+ ASSISTS18.8%12/64 games

2+ THREES37.5%24/64 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CHI DET	64	22.3	9.7	3.5	2.6	44.3%	30.6%	77.6%
2024–25	CHI SAC	67	24.4	9.7	3.0	2.3	42.0%	32.7%	72.3%
2023–24	SAC	63	24.2	10.1	3.5	2.6	44.4%	35.8%	75.0%
2022–23	SAC	75	29.4	15.2	3.4	3.0	48.5%	40.2%	72.5%
2021–22	ATL	73	29.6	12.2	3.4	2.7	45.7%	39.2%	80.8%
2020–21	ATL	69	30.8	11.9	3.4	3.5	43.2%	36.3%	78.1%
2019–20	ATL	56	31.4	12.2	4.1	3.8	41.3%	38.0%	82.8%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	DET	69	40.3	#246 / 409	10.7M	Rotation
2024–25	CHI	68	35.4	#338 / 422	8M	Depth
2023–24	SAC	63	42.7	#208 / 409	11.7M	Rotation
2022–23	SAC	82	46.9	#142 / 408	17.5M	Core
2021–22	ATL	78	39.1	#277 / 423	11.3M	Rotation
2020–21	ATL	87	38.5	#289 / 410	11.3M	Rotation
2019–20	ATL	56	38.4	#250 / 385	10.5M	Rotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#246 OF 409

AF-PLAYER40.3descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#246of 409 ranked

PH$10.7MRotation

SAMPLE69observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT+20.0 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-21.3 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CHI

Chicago Bulls

EXPECTED MIN18.6

SCORING SHARE9.0%

CREATION SHARE8.3%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.1%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

DET

Detroit Pistons

EXPECTED MIN11.4

SCORING SHARE5.4%

CREATION SHARE7.1%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR64.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.