Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Gary Harris
Detroit Pistons current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER37.72025–26
NBA RANK#293of 409
PH$6.9MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN15.2governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Boston Celtics2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT-0.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN13.7
PTS2.4
REB1.3
AST1.0
STL0.6
BLK0.1
3PM0.5
FG%45.5%
3P%41.2%
FT%88.9%
+/--3.0
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Detroit Pistons
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.26pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G1 PTS · 1.4 REB · 1.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G1.8 PTS · 1.7 REB · 1.6 AST
creation↑
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.7%951/2227
2-POINT49.0%490/1000
3-POINT37.6%461/1227
FREE THROW82.5%298/361
EFFECTIVE FG%53.0%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.8%
AST / TO2.09
PTS PER 3611.52rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 162 | 24.06 | 7.56 | 1.88 | 1.57 | 1.28 | 0.93 | 0.23 |
| Away | 183 | 24.15 | 7.85 | 1.97 | 1.45 | 1.38 | 0.84 | 0.21 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.51 | high |
| minutes | 16.8 | 24.9 | 32.3 | 24.11 | medium |
| points | 2.8 | 7 | 12 | 7.71 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1.93 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | @ ATL | 5 | 0.93 | +437.9% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-02 | vs BOS | 13 | 3.63 | +258% | 6 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -15.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-01 | @ CHI | 4 | 3.04 | +31.7% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 | — |
| 2026-02-27 | vs NYK | 6 | 2.13 | +181.5% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | 50% |
| 2026-02-22 | vs TOR | 7 | 4.36 | +60.5% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 | 33% |
| 2026-02-11 | @ ORL | 6 | 5.42 | +10.6% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.0 | 0% |
| 2026-02-09 | @ ORL | 14 | 4.69 | +198.4% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| 2026-01-27 | @ PHI | 14 | — | — | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -9.0 | — |
| 2026-01-23 | vs DEN | 28 | — | — | 4 | 1/5 | 0/1 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9.0 | 34% |
| 2026-01-21 | vs OKC | 9 | — | — | 3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -15.0 | 150% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/41 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/41 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/41 games
2+ THREES9.8%4/41 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | MIL | 41 | 13.7 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 45.5% | 41.2% | 88.9% |
| 2024–25 | ORL | 46 | 14.8 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 39.2% | 36.0% | 58.3% |
| 2023–24 | ORL | 54 | 24.0 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 44.1% | 37.1% | 75.6% |
| 2022–23 | ORL | 48 | 24.7 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 45.0% | 43.1% | 90.0% |
| 2021–22 | ORL | 61 | 28.4 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 43.4% | 38.4% | 87.4% |
| 2020–21 | ORLDEN | 39 | 27.7 | 9.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 40.1% | 34.0% | 82.0% |
| 2019–20 | DEN | 56 | 31.8 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 42.0% | 33.3% | 81.5% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | MIL | 41 | 37.7 | #293 / 409 | 6.9M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | ORL | 52 | 26.7 | #411 / 422 | 5.5M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | ORL | 60 | 34.8 | #337 / 409 | 7.4M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | ORL | 48 | 40.2 | #241 / 408 | 9.5M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | ORL | 73 | 36.8 | #315 / 423 | 8.9M | Depth |
| 2020–21 | ORL | 41 | 31.6 | #352 / 410 | 6.6M | Depth |
| 2019–20 | DEN | 71 | 28.6 | #352 / 385 | 7.8M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER37.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#293of 409 ranked
PH$6.9MDepth
SAMPLE41observed games
Ball security45
Box defence36
Creation41
Efficiency59
Rebounding14
Scoring11
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-0.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+25.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE+1.5 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY29-0.4 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
EXPECTED MIN8.3
SCORING SHARE2.0%
CREATION SHARE3.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR59.7%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.