CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Isaiah Stewart

Memphis Grizzlies current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Memphis Grizzlies · current teamF-CUSAWashington

AF-PLAYER47.92025–26

NBA RANK#133of 409

PH$15.2MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN7.2governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Utah Jazz2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.9 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES356

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS8.8

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS6.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

49 games

MIN23.3

PTS10.0

REB5.0

AST1.0

STL0.3

BLK1.8

3PM0.7

FG%54.9%

3P%34.0%

FT%76.2%

+/-+1.6

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Memphis Grizzlies

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Utah Jazz63.2% winProjected 113–117

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Golden State Warriors37.5% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Sacramento Kings46.2% winProjected 114–115

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Utah Jazz48.7% winProjected 115–116

2026-10-29 · AWAY@ Portland Trail Blazers35.5% winProjected 112–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED3.22pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G1 PTS · 0.6 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G10.6 PTS · 2.8 REB · 0.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.5 PTS · 0.3 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G9.7 PTS · 4.1 REB · 0.9 AST

creation↓

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 356 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS51.3%1214/2368

2-POINT57.6%992/1723

3-POINT34.4%222/645

FREE THROW73.8%471/638

EFFECTIVE FG%56.0%

TRUE SHOOTING%58.9%

AST / TO1.13

PTS PER 3612.94rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

185 HOME · 171 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	185	24.97	9.04	6.9	1.29	0.68	0.42	1.22
Away	171	23.75	8.47	6.7	1.28	0.56	0.36	1.16
Home − Away	—	+1.2	+0.6	+0.2	+0.0	+0.1	+0.1	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

356 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	2	1.29	high
minutes	19	24	30.9	24.39	low
points	4	8	13	8.77	high
rebounds	4	6	10	6.8	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

356 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES4211.8% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	@ CHA	16	—	—	5	2/4	2/3	0/1	1/2	2	1	3	0	1	2	0	4	+9.0	51%
2026-03-12	vs PHI	21	15.76	+33.2%	13	5/5	5/5	0/0	3/3	0	5	5	4	0	2	2	4	+9.0	103%
2026-03-10	@ BKN	22	12.22	+80.1%	4	2/7	2/6	0/1	0/0	3	5	8	1	0	1	0	0	+14.0	29%
2026-03-07	vs BKN	20	9.36	+113.6%	10	2/2	1/1	1/1	5/8	0	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	+5.0	91%
2026-03-05	@ SAS	30	5.26	+470.6%	18	4/8	1/3	3/5	7/8	3	2	5	2	1	1	1	1	-10.0	78%
2026-03-03	@ CLE	22	1.76	+1148.2%	4	2/4	2/4	0/0	0/0	1	1	2	2	1	2	1	2	-10.0	50%
2026-02-09	@ CHA	11	22.87	-51.9%	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	-12.0	50%
2026-02-06	vs NYK	21	22.79	-7.9%	15	6/7	5/5	1/2	2/2	2	1	3	0	1	0	2	4	+6.0	95%
2026-02-05	vs WAS	29	21.66	+33.9%	4	1/3	1/2	0/1	2/2	0	2	2	0	0	0	2	2	-3.0	52%
2026-02-03	vs DEN	23	—	—	11	3/7	3/6	0/1	5/6	2	4	6	3	1	1	0	3	-2.0	57%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS6.1%3/49 games

10+ REBOUNDS8.2%4/49 games

5+ ASSISTS2.0%1/49 games

2+ THREES18.4%9/49 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	DET	49	23.3	10.0	5.0	1.0	54.9%	34.0%	76.2%
2024–25	DET	72	19.9	6.0	5.5	1.7	55.9%	32.1%	75.9%
2023–24	DET	46	31.0	10.9	6.6	1.6	48.7%	38.3%	75.3%
2022–23	DET	50	28.3	11.3	8.1	1.4	44.2%	32.7%	73.8%
2021–22	DET	71	25.6	8.3	8.7	1.1	51.0%	32.6%	71.8%
2020–21	DET	68	21.4	7.9	6.7	0.9	55.1%	33.3%	69.6%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	DET	63	47.9	#133 / 409	15.2M	Core
2024–25	DET	73	47.9	#151 / 422	14.5M	Rotation
2023–24	DET	46	40.2	#245 / 409	10.1M	Rotation
2022–23	DET	50	40.2	#240 / 408	10.1M	Rotation
2021–22	DET	71	40.2	#255 / 423	11.2M	Rotation
2020–21	DET	71	48.4	#131 / 410	15.9M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#133 OF 409

AF-PLAYER47.9descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#133of 409 ranked

PH$15.2MCore

SAMPLE63observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+56.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+3.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-13.5 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY73-0.9 pp next-game What If impact

UNDERUSED

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

DET

Detroit Pistons

EXPECTED MIN16.7

SCORING SHARE8.1%

CREATION SHARE3.6%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.8%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.