Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Daniss Jenkins
Detroit Pistons current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER37.02025–26
NBA RANK#302of 409
PH$8.8MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN34.4governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Boston Celtics2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT+0.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN19.7
PTS9.1
REB2.1
AST3.6
STL0.7
BLK0.2
3PM0.9
FG%40.4%
3P%34.0%
FT%83.3%
+/-+2.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Detroit Pistons
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED31.84pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G8 PTS · 1.4 REB · 4.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G19.2 PTS · 4 REB · 8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G11.5 PTS · 2.9 REB · 4.7 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G14.4 PTS · 3.5 REB · 6.1 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS40.3%190/471
2-POINT44.0%135/307
3-POINT33.5%55/164
FREE THROW83.3%115/138
EFFECTIVE FG%46.2%
TRUE SHOOTING%51.7%
AST / TO2.33
PTS PER 3616.61rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 30 | 20 | 9.73 | 2.37 | 3.67 | 0.83 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Away | 35 | 16.91 | 7.37 | 1.6 | 2.97 | 0.86 | 0.83 | 0.2 |
| Home − Away | — | +3.1 | +2.4 | +0.8 | +0.7 | -0.0 | -0.3 | 0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3.29 | high |
| minutes | 7.6 | 19 | 28 | 18.34 | high |
| points | 0 | 6 | 15 | 8.46 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3.2 | 1.95 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES23.1% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS34.6%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ CHA | 18 | 34.5 | -47.8% | 6 | 2/9 | 2/6 | 0/3 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +14.0 | 30% |
| 2026-04-06 | @ ORL | 34 | 33.35 | +2% | 18 | 6/11 | 5/8 | 1/3 | 5/5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -18.0 | 68% |
| 2026-04-04 | @ PHI | 32 | 33.5 | -4.5% | 16 | 4/11 | 2/6 | 2/5 | 6/7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +25.0 | 57% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs MIN | 37 | 33.13 | +11.7% | 26 | 9/19 | 7/17 | 2/2 | 6/7 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +13.0 | 59% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TOR | 37 | 32.74 | +13% | 21 | 5/9 | 3/5 | 2/4 | 9/9 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +13.0 | 81% |
| 2026-03-30 | @ OKC | 36 | 33.02 | +9% | 15 | 7/17 | 6/12 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4.0 | 44% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ MIN | 28 | 31.87 | -12.1% | 13 | 6/16 | 5/12 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +3.0 | 41% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs ATL | 45 | 25.32 | +77.8% | 19 | 6/13 | 5/7 | 1/6 | 6/8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +1.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs LAL | 39 | 21.86 | +78.4% | 30 | 11/18 | 7/13 | 4/5 | 4/4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.0 | 76% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs GSW | 38 | 19.04 | +99.6% | 22 | 7/12 | 6/9 | 1/3 | 7/7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +13.0 | 73% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS10.0%6/60 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/60 games
5+ ASSISTS31.7%19/60 games
2+ THREES21.7%13/60 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER37.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#302of 409 ranked
PH$8.8MDepth
SAMPLE74observed games
Ball security55
Box defence28
Creation70
Efficiency19
Rebounding18
Scoring47
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-50.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+14.2 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY23+0.3 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
DET
Detroit Pistons
EXPECTED MIN17.0
SCORING SHARE7.1%
CREATION SHARE11.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR79.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.