CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Isaiah Joe

Detroit Pistons current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Detroit Pistons · current teamGUSAArkansas

AF-PLAYER50.72025–26

NBA RANK#100of 409

PH$18.5MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Boston Celtics2026-10-20 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES384

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS8.3

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

69 games

MIN21.2

PTS11.0

REB2.5

AST1.3

STL0.7

BLK0.2

3PM2.5

FG%45.5%

3P%42.2%

FT%89.2%

+/-+4.8

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Detroit Pistons

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-20 · HOMEvs Boston Celtics54.7% winProjected 111–113

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Miami Heat49.1% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Philadelphia 76ers49.0% winProjected 112–112

2026-10-27 · AWAY@ New York Knicks34.2% winProjected 110–114

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Charlotte Hornets59.7% winProjected 111–114

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED16.43pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G9.6 PTS · 1.2 REB · 0.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11.2 PTS · 3.2 REB · 0.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G8.2 PTS · 0.8 REB · 0.3 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G11.6 PTS · 3.6 REB · 1.2 AST

creation↓

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding↑

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 384 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS43.6%1045/2394

2-POINT54.1%293/542

3-POINT40.6%752/1852

FREE THROW85.3%325/381

EFFECTIVE FG%59.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%61.8%

AST / TO2.32

PTS PER 3616.64rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

194 HOME · 190 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	194	17.59	8.53	1.95	1.14	2.01	0.56	0.15
Away	190	18.09	7.96	2.29	1.16	1.91	0.57	0.15
Home − Away	—	-0.5	+0.6	-0.3	-0.0	+0.1	-0.0	0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

384 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	2	1.15	high
minutes	10.6	19	25	17.84	medium
points	3	7	13.4	8.25	high
rebounds	1	2	3.4	2.12	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

384 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-08	@ LAC	23	14.76	+55.9%	21	6/9	2/2	4/7	5/5	0	2	2	2	0	0	2	+10.0	94%
2026-04-07	@ LAL	18	13.83	+30.2%	18	6/9	0/0	6/9	0/0	0	2	2	0	0	1	1	+31.0	100%
2026-04-05	vs UTA	14	15.03	-6.9%	9	3/5	1/1	2/4	1/1	1	1	2	1	1	2	2	+10.0	83%
2026-04-02	vs LAL	13	18.02	-27.8%	20	7/9	1/1	6/8	0/0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	+19.0	111%
2026-03-30	vs DET	14	19.68	-28.8%	6	2/5	0/0	2/5	0/0	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	-11.0	60%
2026-03-29	vs NYK	10	21.74	-54%	3	1/4	0/0	1/4	0/0	0	1	1	0	1	1	2	-4.0	38%
2026-03-25	@ BOS	12	22.19	-45.9%	5	2/4	1/1	1/3	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	-7.0	63%
2026-03-23	@ PHI	19	23.95	-20.7%	9	3/7	0/1	3/6	0/0	1	1	2	1	2	0	2	+7.0	64%
2026-03-21	@ WAS	31	23.94	+29.5%	9	2/8	0/0	2/8	3/3	0	4	4	2	0	1	0	+12.0	48%
2026-03-17	@ ORL	22	24.46	-10.1%	5	2/5	1/2	1/3	0/0	2	2	4	0	1	0	0	+2.0	50%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS15.9%11/69 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/69 games

5+ ASSISTS1.5%1/69 games

2+ THREES69.6%48/69 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	OKC	69	21.2	11.0	2.5	1.3	45.5%	42.2%	89.2%
2024–25	OKC	73	21.6	10.1	2.6	1.6	43.8%	40.9%	81.5%
2023–24	OKC	78	18.5	8.2	2.3	1.3	45.8%	41.6%	86.5%
2022–23	OKC	71	19.6	9.7	2.5	1.2	44.1%	40.9%	82.0%
2021–22	PHI	53	11.3	3.7	1.0	0.6	35.2%	33.6%	93.5%
2020–21	PHI	40	9.3	3.8	0.9	0.5	37.0%	37.3%	75.0%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	OKC	80	50.7	#100 / 409	18.5M	Core
2024–25	OKC	95	49.5	#128 / 422	17M	Core
2023–24	OKC	88	45.3	#167 / 409	13.9M	Rotation
2022–23	OKC	75	47.0	#140 / 408	14.6M	Rotation
2021–22	PHI	84	25.1	#409 / 423	5.5M	Depth
2020–21	PHI	79	34.1	#337 / 410	5.9M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#100 OF 409

AF-PLAYER50.7descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#100of 409 ranked

PH$18.5MCore

SAMPLE80observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT+5.9 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-20.1 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

EXPECTED MIN18.5

SCORING SHARE9.1%

CREATION SHARE4.8%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.