Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Harrison Barnes
San Antonio Spurs current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER40.42025–26
NBA RANK#243of 409
PH$12.3MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Oklahoma City Thunder2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN25.9
PTS10.0
REB2.8
AST2.0
STL0.7
BLK0.2
3PM1.8
FG%45.7%
3P%39.1%
FT%82.5%
+/-+4.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · San Antonio Spurs
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL25minutes
EXPECTED20.99pregame reference
DEVIATION+19.1%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G6.2 PTS · 1 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5.6 PTS · 0.8 REB · 0.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.4 PTS · 1.5 REB · 1.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G7 PTS · 1.4 REB · 1.1 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS47.6%2387/5010
2-POINT54.7%1474/2696
3-POINT39.5%913/2314
FREE THROW82.3%1515/1841
EFFECTIVE FG%56.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%61.9%
AST / TO1.92
PTS PER 3615.92rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 259 | 31.24 | 14.31 | 4.36 | 2.14 | 1.79 | 0.64 | 0.17 |
| Away | 266 | 30.79 | 13.14 | 4.4 | 1.87 | 1.69 | 0.64 | 0.15 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.5 | +1.2 | -0.0 | +0.3 | +0.1 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | high |
| minutes | 25 | 32 | 37 | 31.01 | low |
| points | 8 | 13 | 20 | 13.72 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4.38 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES163.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs DEN | 25 | 20.99 | +19.1% | 12 | 5/11 | 3/6 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 | 55% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs POR | 27 | 19.61 | +37.7% | 9 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 0/2 | 5/6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +13.0 | 68% |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PHI | 17 | 19.94 | -14.7% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.0 | 33% |
| 2026-04-04 | @ DEN | 17 | 20.91 | -18.7% | 8 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2.0 | 100% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ LAC | 21 | 21.06 | -0.3% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +11.0 | 75% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ GSW | 27 | 20.56 | +31.3% | 13 | 4/7 | 1/1 | 3/6 | 2/3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 | 78% |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CHI | 17 | 20.8 | -18.3% | 3 | 1/5 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 | 26% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ MIL | 18 | 20.69 | -13% | 3 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +30.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ MEM | 22 | 19.5 | +12.8% | 11 | 4/7 | 1/1 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.0 | 79% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ MIA | 22 | 18.77 | +17.2% | 13 | 4/8 | 0/1 | 4/7 | 1/2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12.0 | 73% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS9.3%7/75 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/75 games
5+ ASSISTS8.0%6/75 games
2+ THREES50.7%38/75 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | SAS | 75 | 25.9 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 45.7% | 39.1% | 82.5% |
| 2024–25 | SAS | 81 | 27.1 | 12.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 50.8% | 43.6% | 80.7% |
| 2023–24 | SAC | 81 | 28.9 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 47.2% | 38.7% | 80.1% |
| 2022–23 | SAC | 82 | 32.4 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 47.2% | 37.4% | 84.8% |
| 2021–22 | SAC | 77 | 33.6 | 16.4 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 46.9% | 39.4% | 82.6% |
| 2020–21 | SAC | 57 | 36.4 | 16.3 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 50.0% | 39.7% | 83.0% |
| 2019–20 | SAC | 72 | 34.5 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 46.0% | 38.1% | 80.2% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | SAS | 95 | 40.4 | #243 / 409 | 12.3M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | SAS | 81 | 54.3 | #70 / 422 | 22.3M | Core |
| 2023–24 | SAC | 83 | 41.5 | #231 / 409 | 13M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | SAC | 89 | 45.1 | #175 / 408 | 16.8M | Core |
| 2021–22 | SAC | 77 | 49.6 | #110 / 423 | 20.9M | Core |
| 2020–21 | SAC | 57 | 51.9 | #90 / 410 | 21M | Core |
| 2019–20 | SAC | 72 | 40.6 | #217 / 385 | 13.7M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER40.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#243of 409 ranked
PH$12.3MRotation
SAMPLE95observed games
Ball security86
Box defence15
Creation34
Efficiency58
Rebounding18
Scoring27
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT-42.9 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-22.5 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
EXPECTED MIN21.4
SCORING SHARE7.2%
CREATION SHARE6.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR83.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.