Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Scoot Henderson
Portland Trail Blazers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER41.02025–26
NBA RANK#231of 409
PH$9.1MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN20.3governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Phoenix Suns2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN25.0
PTS13.9
REB2.6
AST3.5
STL1.0
BLK0.3
3PM1.9
FG%41.2%
3P%34.4%
FT%84.2%
+/--0.0
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Portland Trail Blazers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL27minutes
EXPECTED28.87pregame reference
DEVIATION-6.5%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G15.2 PTS · 2 REB · 3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G14 PTS · 1.8 REB · 3.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G13.6 PTS · 2.1 REB · 2.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G13.1 PTS · 2.2 REB · 3.1 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS40.3%694/1722
2-POINT44.2%458/1036
3-POINT34.4%236/686
FREE THROW79.9%381/477
EFFECTIVE FG%47.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%51.9%
AST / TO1.7
PTS PER 3617.75rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 73 | 27.37 | 14.59 | 3.01 | 5.59 | 1.77 | 1.14 | 0.21 |
| Away | 77 | 26.86 | 12.21 | 2.94 | 4.42 | 1.39 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.5 | +2.4 | +0.1 | +1.2 | +0.4 | +0.4 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4.99 | high |
| minutes | 22 | 26 | 32.2 | 27.11 | low |
| points | 7.8 | 13 | 18 | 13.37 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2.97 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES106.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS117.3%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs SAC | 27 | 28.87 | -6.5% | 15 | 6/12 | 4/5 | 2/7 | 1/1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +6.0 | 60% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs LAC | 31 | 27.47 | +12.9% | 9 | 3/6 | 2/3 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +18.0 | 65% |
| 2026-04-08 | @ SAS | 38 | 25.37 | +49.8% | 20 | 7/20 | 4/11 | 3/9 | 3/4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -7.0 | 46% |
| 2026-04-06 | @ DEN | 36 | 23.67 | +52.1% | 18 | 6/14 | 2/6 | 4/8 | 2/2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -15.0 | 61% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs NOP | 20 | 24.08 | -16.9% | 14 | 6/12 | 4/8 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -14.0 | 58% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ LAC | 29 | 23.2 | +25% | 15 | 5/14 | 2/8 | 3/6 | 2/2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs DAL | 22 | 22.76 | -3.3% | 9 | 3/11 | 2/6 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -12.0 | 38% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs MIL | 24 | 22.82 | +5.2% | 23 | 6/13 | 3/6 | 3/7 | 8/8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +18.0 | 70% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs BKN | 24 | 23.29 | +3% | 13 | 4/9 | 1/4 | 3/5 | 2/4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +28.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-20 | @ MIN | 24 | 23.25 | +3.2% | 11 | 4/10 | 4/7 | 0/3 | 3/4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.0 | 47% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS12.5%3/24 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/24 games
5+ ASSISTS20.8%5/24 games
2+ THREES54.2%13/24 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | POR | 30 | 41.0 | #231 / 409 | 9.1M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | POR | 64 | 41.3 | #246 / 422 | 11M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | POR | 62 | 34.1 | #346 / 409 | 7.5M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER41.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#231of 409 ranked
PH$9.1MDepth
SAMPLE30observed games
Ball security38
Box defence38
Creation41
Efficiency41
Rebounding18
Scoring62
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+4.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+1.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-5.1 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY22-0.1 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
EXPECTED MIN23.9
SCORING SHARE12.4%
CREATION SHARE13.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.