Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Blake Wesley
Portland Trail Blazers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER31.62024–25
NBA RANK#383of 422
PH$5.7MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN1.2governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Phoenix Suns2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN12.2
PTS4.8
REB1.3
AST2.3
STL0.6
BLK0.2
3PM0.3
FG%43.0%
3P%23.1%
FT%59.0%
+/--2.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Portland Trail Blazers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL2minutes
EXPECTED2.34pregame reference
DEVIATION-14.6%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0.6 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G3.8 PTS · 0.8 REB · 1.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G1.9 PTS · 0.5 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G4.17 PTS · 1.67 REB · 1.67 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS41.1%292/711
2-POINT45.9%240/523
3-POINT27.7%52/188
FREE THROW62.7%138/220
EFFECTIVE FG%44.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%47.9%
AST / TO2.19
PTS PER 3611.14rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 90 | 13.29 | 4 | 1.47 | 2.21 | 0.28 | 0.59 | 0.16 |
| Away | 89 | 14.67 | 4.65 | 1.53 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.57 | 0.12 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.4 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.0 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.4 | high |
| minutes | 6 | 15 | 20.4 | 13.98 | high |
| points | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4.32 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs SAC | 2 | 2.34 | -14.6% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 | — |
| 2026-04-10 | vs LAC | 2 | 2.1 | -5% | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 | 57% |
| 2026-04-08 | @ SAS | 4 | 2.64 | +51.3% | 2 | 1/4 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +2.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ LAC | 1 | 6.7 | -85.1% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| 2026-03-25 | vs MIL | 9 | 6.14 | +46.6% | 7 | 2/5 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs BKN | 20 | 3.63 | +450.4% | 9 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-08 | vs IND | 4 | 11.5 | -65.2% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-06 | @ HOU | 13 | 10.34 | +25.7% | 7 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -12.0 | 81% |
| 2026-03-01 | @ ATL | 20 | 9.25 | +116.3% | 12 | 5/11 | 5/11 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -9.0 | 47% |
| 2026-02-28 | @ CHA | 11 | 8.06 | +36.5% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2.0 | 33% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/24 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/24 games
5+ ASSISTS8.3%2/24 games
2+ THREES8.3%2/24 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | SAS | 57 | 31.6 | #383 / 422 | 5.7M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | SAS | 61 | 37.3 | #300 / 409 | 7.4M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | SAS | 37 | 27.1 | #390 / 408 | 5.4M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
AF-PLAYER31.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#383of 422 ranked
PH$5.7MDepth
SAMPLE57observed games
Ball security27
Box defence48
Creation64
Efficiency21
Rebounding13
Scoring25
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
EXPECTED MIN7.4
SCORING SHARE4.5%
CREATION SHARE9.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR57.8%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.