Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Walker Kessler
Los Angeles Lakers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER58.02024–25
NBA RANK#37of 422
PH$22.4MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Golden State Warriors2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN31.0
PTS14.4
REB10.8
AST3.0
STL1.4
BLK1.8
3PM1.2
FG%70.3%
3P%75.0%
FT%70.0%
+/-+2.8
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Los Angeles Lakers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED1.4pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT4 G12.5 PTS · 11.25 REB · 2.75 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT4 G12.5 PTS · 11.25 REB · 2.75 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS68.3%828/1213
2-POINT70.4%812/1154
3-POINT27.1%16/59
FREE THROW54.5%231/424
EFFECTIVE FG%68.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%68.0%
AST / TO1.06
PTS PER 3613.5rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 103 | 25.81 | 9.53 | 9.35 | 1.26 | 0.12 | 0.56 | 2.52 |
| Away | 97 | 24.91 | 9.49 | 9.22 | 1.11 | 0.04 | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.9 | +0.0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.2 | +0.3 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.19 | high |
| minutes | 19 | 27 | 31 | 25.37 | low |
| points | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9.52 | high |
| rebounds | 5.8 | 9 | 13 | 9.29 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES5728.5% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | @ PHX | 29 | 29.65 | -2.2% | 4 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6.0 | 40% |
| 2025-10-29 | vs POR | 32 | 30.26 | +5.7% | 18 | 7/12 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 1/3 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1.0 | 68% |
| 2025-10-27 | vs PHX | 35 | 29.54 | +18.5% | 25 | 9/12 | 8/10 | 1/2 | 6/7 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +1.0 | 83% |
| 2025-10-24 | @ SAC | 30 | 29 | +3.4% | 3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +7.0 | 80% |
| 2025-10-22 | vs LAC | 29 | — | — | 22 | 7/7 | 5/5 | 2/2 | 6/8 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +13.0 | 105% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS40.0%2/5 games
10+ REBOUNDS60.0%3/5 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/5 games
2+ THREES40.0%2/5 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | UTA | 57 | 58.0 | #37 / 422 | 22.4M | Core |
| 2023–24 | UTA | 64 | 54.2 | #73 / 409 | 18.9M | Core |
| 2022–23 | UTA | 74 | 59.8 | #23 / 408 | 22.8M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
AF-PLAYER58.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#37of 422 ranked
PH$22.4MCore
SAMPLE57observed games
Ball security42
Box defence56
Creation14
Efficiency89
Rebounding91
Scoring29
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
UTA
Utah Jazz
EXPECTED MIN16.3
SCORING SHARE11.7%
CREATION SHARE10.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR56.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.