Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Chris Manon
Los Angeles Lakers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate
NBA RANK—not ranked
PH$—pending · how PH$ worksSTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMEvs Golden State Warriors2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN5.0
PTS0.6
REB1.0
AST0.3
STL0.6
BLK0.3
3PM0.0
FG%25.0%
3P%0.0%
FT%75.0%
+/--0.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Los Angeles Lakers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED2.53pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0.6 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G1 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.3 PTS · 0.2 REB · 0.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G1 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS—1/4
2-POINT—1/2
3-POINT—0/2
FREE THROW—3/4
EFFECTIVE FG%—
TRUE SHOOTING%—
AST / TO2
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
Not enough games on both sides to publish a split. ProbHoops requires at least 5 home and 5 away games; this player has 5 and 3.
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
A distribution needs at least 10 observed games. This player has 8.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHX | 2 | 2.44 | -18% | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | 57% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs OKC | 12 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-06 | vs IND | 4 | 0.36 | +998.8% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.0 | 0% |
| 2026-02-10 | vs SAS | 8 | — | — | 2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 114% |
| 2026-01-07 | @ SAS | 1 | 0.37 | +170.9% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| 2025-12-23 | @ PHX | 6 | — | — | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +5.0 | — |
| 2025-10-27 | vs POR | 4 | — | — | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.0 | — |
| 2025-10-26 | @ SAC | 3 | — | — | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/8 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/8 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/8 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/8 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | LAL | 8 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 75.0% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
ProbHoops has observed 8 games of this player in 2025–26 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
EXPECTED MIN1.1
SCORING SHARE0.3%
CREATION SHARE0.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR26.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.