Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Los Angeles Lakers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER54.72025–26
NBA RANK#56of 409
PH$22MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN11.5governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Golden State Warriors2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN21.8
PTS11.0
REB5.0
AST1.9
STL0.8
BLK0.5
3PM1.4
FG%51.7%
3P%38.4%
FT%74.7%
+/-+1.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Los Angeles Lakers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED23.3pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G8.6 PTS · 4.6 REB · 1.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11.8 PTS · 5.8 REB · 2.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G11.3 PTS · 4.8 REB · 1.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G13.1 PTS · 5.6 REB · 2 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS49.2%676/1375
2-POINT60.6%438/723
3-POINT36.5%238/652
FREE THROW73.8%234/317
EFFECTIVE FG%57.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%60.2%
AST / TO2.03
PTS PER 3617.07rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 127 | 14.35 | 6.72 | 3.69 | 1.18 | 0.92 | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| Away | 137 | 14.77 | 7.08 | 3.7 | 1.26 | 0.88 | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.0 | -0.1 | +0.0 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.22 | high |
| minutes | 5 | 15 | 23 | 14.57 | high |
| points | 0.6 | 6 | 12 | 6.91 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3.69 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES114.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ NYK | 25 | 22.48 | +11.2% | 17 | 5/9 | 2/3 | 3/6 | 4/6 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3.0 | 73% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIA | 18 | 22.98 | -21.7% | 5 | 2/6 | 1/2 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +26.0 | 42% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIA | 22 | 22.69 | -3% | 11 | 4/9 | 2/5 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +23.0 | 56% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ BOS | 24 | 21.23 | +13% | 10 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 4/4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8.0 | 87% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SAC | 33 | 18.81 | +75.4% | 17 | 7/10 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -9.0 | 85% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ DET | 22 | 18.02 | +22.1% | 16 | 7/13 | 5/9 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +4.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ORL | 21 | 17.94 | +17.1% | 19 | 8/13 | 6/9 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +47.0 | 71% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NOP | 21 | 17.09 | +22.9% | 18 | 7/14 | 4/9 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +9.0 | 61% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ LAC | 15 | 17.83 | -15.9% | 13 | 5/7 | 2/2 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -8.0 | 87% |
| 2026-03-22 | @ PHX | 18 | 18.12 | -0.7% | 5 | 2/8 | 2/4 | 0/4 | 1/2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.0 | 28% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS7.9%6/76 games
10+ REBOUNDS4.0%3/76 games
5+ ASSISTS5.3%4/76 games
2+ THREES40.8%31/76 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | TOR | 83 | 54.7 | #56 / 409 | 22M | Core |
| 2024–25 | SAS | 60 | 61.4 | #25 / 422 | 18.6M | Core |
| 2023–24 | SAS | 46 | 50.6 | #108 / 409 | 13.3M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | SAS | 43 | 40.3 | #238 / 408 | 8.3M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | MIL | 58 | 46.6 | #151 / 423 | 11.6M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER54.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#56of 409 ranked
PH$22MCore
SAMPLE83observed games
Ball security74
Box defence45
Creation37
Efficiency68
Rebounding52
Scoring49
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+65.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-7.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-9.7 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY82-1.2 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
TOR
Toronto Raptors
EXPECTED MIN20.6
SCORING SHARE9.3%
CREATION SHARE6.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.