Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Ziaire Williams
Los Angeles Lakers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER39.22025–26
NBA RANK#267of 409
PH$8.7MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN30.7governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Golden State Warriors2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN23.0
PTS10.5
REB2.5
AST0.9
STL1.3
BLK0.5
3PM1.6
FG%43.2%
3P%33.8%
FT%85.5%
+/--5.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Los Angeles Lakers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED18.46pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8 PTS · 2 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G4.5 PTS · 0.3 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G7.8 PTS · 3 REB · 1.2 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.5%795/1872
2-POINT55.2%460/833
3-POINT32.2%335/1039
FREE THROW82.3%320/389
EFFECTIVE FG%51.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.9%
AST / TO1.16
PTS PER 3614.64rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 122 | 21.23 | 8.43 | 3.11 | 1.11 | 1.28 | 0.8 | 0.28 |
| Away | 134 | 21.88 | 9.07 | 2.99 | 1.21 | 1.34 | 0.82 | 0.31 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.7 | -0.6 | +0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.0 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.16 | high |
| minutes | 16.6 | 22 | 28 | 21.57 | medium |
| points | 3 | 8 | 14 | 8.77 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3.05 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES31.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | vs CHA | 24 | 18.29 | +31.2% | 10 | 4/10 | 3/8 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -18.0 | 46% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ LAL | 25 | 21.1 | +18.5% | 16 | 6/14 | 5/10 | 1/4 | 3/6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2.0 | 48% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ GSW | 24 | 17.11 | +40.3% | 19 | 6/11 | 5/9 | 1/2 | 6/7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +6.0 | 68% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ POR | 24 | 13.32 | +80.2% | 16 | 4/7 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 7/7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -13.0 | 79% |
| 2026-03-22 | @ SAC | 22 | 13.65 | +61.1% | 18 | 6/11 | 4/8 | 2/3 | 4/5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 | 68% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs NYK | 25 | 13.09 | +91% | 17 | 6/10 | 4/6 | 2/4 | 3/3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ PHI | 21 | 12.67 | +65.7% | 9 | 3/6 | 1/4 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -19.0 | 70% |
| 2026-03-07 | @ DET | 32 | 9.54 | +235.4% | 23 | 5/8 | 0/0 | 5/8 | 8/8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +10.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-05 | @ MIA | 24 | 8.43 | +184.7% | 15 | 5/9 | 3/5 | 2/4 | 3/3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -10.0 | 73% |
| 2026-02-26 | vs SAS | 13 | 9.56 | +36% | 2 | 1/4 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -19.0 | 25% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS6.4%3/47 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/47 games
5+ ASSISTS2.1%1/47 games
2+ THREES46.8%22/47 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | BKN | 47 | 39.2 | #267 / 409 | 8.7M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | BKN | 61 | 37.2 | #309 / 422 | 8.4M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | MEM | 51 | 30.3 | #377 / 409 | 6.1M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | MEM | 41 | 25.5 | #400 / 408 | 5.3M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | MEM | 73 | 33.8 | #355 / 423 | 7.5M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER39.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#267of 409 ranked
PH$8.7MDepth
SAMPLE47observed games
Ball security62
Box defence57
Creation10
Efficiency52
Rebounding16
Scoring44
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-35.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+8.0 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+7.7 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY40-0.4 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
EXPECTED MIN15.8
SCORING SHARE9.0%
CREATION SHARE3.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR64.0%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.