CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Kyle Anderson

Toronto Raptors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Toronto Raptors · current teamF-GUSAUCLA

AF-PLAYER42.02025–26

NBA RANK#219of 409

PH$9.4MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN6.4governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Chicago Bulls2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES443

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS7.8

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS4.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS3.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

35 games

MIN19.8

PTS6.0

REB3.6

AST3.0

STL1.0

BLK0.6

3PM0.1

FG%50.3%

3P%33.3%

FT%68.5%

+/--3.1

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Toronto Raptors

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Chicago Bulls66.2% winProjected 112–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Washington Wizards53.7% winProjected 115–114

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Minnesota Timberwolves40.9% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Orlando Magic60.2% winProjected 111–114

2026-10-30 · HOMEvs Orlando Magic60.2% winProjected 111–114

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED21.9pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G5.4 PTS · 2.8 REB · 2.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G3.6 PTS · 3.8 REB · 1.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G4 PTS · 2.9 REB · 2.5 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT8 G4.38 PTS · 2.88 REB · 1.38 AST

creation↑

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding↑

scoring↓

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 443 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS47.3%1339/2830

2-POINT51.4%1105/2148

3-POINT34.3%234/682

FREE THROW71.9%544/757

EFFECTIVE FG%51.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%54.6%

AST / TO3.14

PTS PER 3612.39rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

223 HOME · 220 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	223	22.69	7.73	4.28	3.25	0.58	0.96	0.74
Away	220	22.64	7.87	4.75	3.51	0.47	1	0.62
Home − Away	—	+0.1	-0.1	-0.5	-0.3	+0.1	-0.0	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

443 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	3	5	3.38	high
minutes	17	23	28.9	22.66	medium
points	3.4	7	12	7.8	high
rebounds	2	4	7	4.51	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

443 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES173.8% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES30.7% of games

10+ ASSISTS81.8%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	@ HOU	33	19.1	+72.8%	17	7/12	7/12	0/0	3/5	3	3	6	9	2	0	0	3	+5.0	60%
2026-04-08	@ ORL	24	19.54	+22.8%	8	3/5	3/4	0/1	2/2	3	4	7	2	2	2	1	2	-25.0	68%
2026-04-05	vs CHA	17	19.38	-12.3%	2	1/3	1/3	0/0	0/0	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	1	-11.0	33%
2026-04-03	@ PHI	14	19.54	-28.3%	6	3/6	3/5	0/1	0/0	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	4	0.0	50%
2026-04-02	@ DET	26	19.19	+35.5%	2	1/2	1/2	0/0	0/0	2	5	7	2	2	3	2	0	-3.0	50%
2026-03-28	vs DET	16	18.36	-12.9%	2	1/2	1/2	0/0	0/0	0	2	2	1	2	0	1	0	-9.0	50%
2026-03-25	vs HOU	30	16.15	+85.8%	3	1/6	1/6	0/0	1/1	3	2	5	3	1	1	1	1	+4.0	23%
2026-03-22	@ BOS	16	15.79	+1.3%	6	3/5	3/5	0/0	0/0	4	0	4	3	1	0	1	2	+12.0	60%
2026-03-20	vs POR	18	13.28	+35.6%	4	1/6	1/5	0/1	2/2	1	1	2	2	0	1	0	2	+7.0	29%
2026-03-17	vs PHX	25	11.29	+121.4%	7	3/4	3/3	0/1	1/2	0	5	5	6	0	1	1	0	+12.0	72%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS2.9%1/35 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/35 games

5+ ASSISTS22.9%8/35 games

2+ THREES0.0%0/35 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	UTA MIN	35	19.8	6.0	3.6	3.0	50.3%	33.3%	68.5%
2024–25	MIA GSW	55	16.6	6.0	3.3	2.4	46.9%	35.4%	74.6%
2023–24	MIN	79	22.5	6.4	3.5	4.2	46.0%	22.9%	70.8%
2022–23	MIN	69	28.3	9.4	5.3	4.9	50.9%	40.9%	73.5%
2021–22	MEM	69	21.5	7.5	5.3	2.6	44.6%	33.0%	63.8%
2020–21	MEM	69	27.4	12.4	5.7	3.6	46.8%	36.0%	78.3%
2019–20	MEM	67	19.9	5.8	4.3	2.4	47.4%	28.2%	66.7%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	MIN	43	42.0	#219 / 409	9.4M	Depth
2024–25	MIA	60	44.7	#196 / 422	11.2M	Rotation
2023–24	MIN	94	38.6	#276 / 409	10.1M	Rotation
2022–23	MIN	75	47.6	#131 / 408	17.1M	Core
2021–22	MEM	81	43.6	#199 / 423	13.3M	Rotation
2020–21	MEM	76	52.7	#83 / 410	21.6M	Core
2019–20	MEM	68	40.1	#224 / 385	10.4M	Rotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#219 OF 409

AF-PLAYER42.0descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#219of 409 ranked

PH$9.4MDepth

SAMPLE43observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+37.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-7.1 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-11.1 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY43-0.8 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

UTA

Utah Jazz

EXPECTED MIN8.3

SCORING SHARE6.6%

CREATION SHARE10.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR43.7%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

EXPECTED MIN12.9

SCORING SHARE3.3%

CREATION SHARE10.7%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.