PROBHOOPS · NBA ANALYTICS · TEAMS · PLAYERS · PROBABILITIES
FIND ANYTHING

Teams & players

Start typing to search the ProbHoops directory.

Tip: press / anywhere to search.

PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Josh Richardson

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Miami Heat · last observed teamUSATennessee
AF-PLAYER39.82023–24
NBA RANK#253of 409
PH$9.3MDepth · fictional game currency
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES294

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS11.0

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2024–25

8 games
MIN18.6
PTS4.0
REB1.5
AST1.5
STL1.0
BLK0.1
3PM0.8
FG%28.9%
3P%27.3%
FT%100.0%
+/--3.9

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.64pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G4 PTS · 0 REB · 1 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G4 PTS · 0 REB · 1 AST

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 294 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS43.1%1173/2720
2-POINT49.3%720/1461
3-POINT36.0%453/1259
FREE THROW87.3%431/494
EFFECTIVE FG%51.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.0%
AST / TO1.9
PTS PER 3614.84rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

147 HOME · 147 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home14726.8511.152.982.331.610.960.43
Away14726.4510.822.882.541.480.870.41
Home − Away—+0.4+0.3+0.1-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

294 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists1242.44high
minutes20.8273326.65low
points6101610.99high
rebounds1352.93high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

294 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS10.3%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2024–25

One log, the window you choose

8 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2024-11-18vs PHI1417.85-21.6%41/61/20/42/200010011-21.029%
2024-11-17@ IND2414.43+66.3%52/51/21/30/011231103+1.050%
2024-11-15@ IND2513.2+89.5%62/70/22/50/001121010+2.043%
2024-11-12@ DET814.62-45.3%52/31/21/10/000010000-1.083%
2024-11-10@ MIN2014.07+42.2%20/10/10/02/2224000130.053%
2024-11-08@ DEN2112.02+74.8%104/82/42/40/011234023+1.063%
2024-11-04vs SAC2113.73+52.9%00/40/10/30/011212034-8.00%
2024-11-02@ WAS16——00/40/20/20/010110003-5.00%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/8 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/8 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/8 games
2+ THREES25.0%2/8 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2024–25MIA818.64.01.51.528.9%27.3%100.0%
2023–24MIA4325.79.92.82.444.4%34.7%94.4%
2022–23NOPSAS6523.610.12.72.743.1%36.5%85.2%
2021–22SASBOS6524.610.32.91.843.8%41.5%88.9%
2020–21DAL5930.312.13.32.642.7%33.0%91.7%
2019–20PHI5430.713.73.22.943.1%34.8%80.6%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

SeasonTeamGAF-PlayerRankPH$Band
2023–24MIA4339.8#253 / 4099.3MDepth
2022–23NOP6639.3#260 / 4089.6MDepth
2021–22SAS6940.2#254 / 42310.8MRotation
2020–21DAL6635.1#326 / 4108.8MDepth
2019–20PHI5936.2#280 / 3859.5MDepth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2023–24

#253 OF 409
AF-PLAYER39.8descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#253of 409 ranked
PH$9.3MDepth
SAMPLE43observed games
Ball security
73
Box defence
23
Creation
48
Efficiency
46
Rebounding
16
Scoring
34

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

MIA

Miami Heat

EXPECTED MIN10.0
SCORING SHARE2.7%
CREATION SHARE5.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR58.6%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.