Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Trey Jemison
Toronto Raptors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER35.02024–25
NBA RANK#343of 422
PH$5.9MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN30.6governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Chicago Bulls2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN6.3
PTS1.0
REB1.4
AST0.4
STL0.1
BLK0.1
3PM0.0
FG%60.0%
3P%—
FT%100.0%
+/--2.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Toronto Raptors
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL18minutes
EXPECTED0.61pregame reference
DEVIATION+2838.7%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0.8 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G0 PTS · 1 REB · 0 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.4 PTS · 0.3 REB · 0.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G0 PTS · 1 REB · 0 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS55.5%122/220
2-POINT55.5%122/220
3-POINT—0/0
FREE THROW59.3%35/59
EFFECTIVE FG%55.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%56.7%
AST / TO0.7
PTS PER 369.58rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 40 | 14.6 | 4.55 | 3.52 | 0.57 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| Away | 36 | 12.89 | 2.69 | 3.25 | 0.69 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.67 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.7 | +1.9 | +0.3 | -0.1 | 0.0 | +0.2 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.63 | high |
| minutes | 3 | 14 | 22 | 13.79 | high |
| points | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3.67 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3.39 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES11.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs CHA | 18 | 0.61 | +2838.7% | 4 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -15.0 | 67% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 3 | — | — | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1.0 | — |
| 2026-02-27 | @ MIL | 4 | 0.55 | +630.6% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | — |
| 2026-02-08 | @ BOS | 3 | 2.67 | +12.5% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | — |
| 2026-02-06 | @ DET | 6 | 1.74 | +244.6% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.0 | 50% |
| 2026-02-03 | @ WAS | 9 | — | — | 0 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6.0 | 0% |
| 2026-02-01 | vs LAL | 1 | — | — | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | — |
| 2026-01-02 | vs ATL | 5 | — | — | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 | — |
| 2025-12-29 | @ NOP | 4 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 100% |
| 2025-12-18 | @ IND | 18 | — | — | 5 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 | 102% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/13 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/13 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/13 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/13 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | NOP | 38 | 35.0 | #343 / 422 | 5.9M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | MEM | 25 | 39.5 | #261 / 409 | 7.9M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
AF-PLAYER35.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#343of 422 ranked
PH$5.9MDepth
SAMPLE38observed games
Ball security12
Box defence43
Creation12
Efficiency48
Rebounding71
Scoring13
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
NYK
New York Knicks
EXPECTED MIN1.7
SCORING SHARE0.9%
CREATION SHARE0.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR28.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.