PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Justin Holiday

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Denver Nuggets · last observed teamUSAWashington

AF-PLAYER37.42023–24

NBA RANK#298of 409

PH$7.7MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSHistoricalno current binding

EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported

NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pending WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES319

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS7.9

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2023–24

56 games

MIN15.4

PTS4.2

REB1.3

AST1.2

STL0.6

BLK0.2

3PM1.0

FG%45.4%

3P%40.4%

FT%75.0%

+/-+1.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2023–24

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL19minutes

EXPECTED15.31pregame reference

DEVIATION+24.1%role consistent

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G5.6 PTS · 0.8 REB · 2.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G4.8 PTS · 1 REB · 1 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G4.5 PTS · 1.1 REB · 1.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.6 PTS · 1.1 REB · 1.2 AST

creation↓

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↑

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 319 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS41.2%888/2155

2-POINT49.1%305/621

3-POINT38.0%583/1534

FREE THROW78.5%175/223

EFFECTIVE FG%54.7%

TRUE SHOOTING%56.2%

AST / TO2.2

PTS PER 3612.04rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

154 HOME · 165 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	154	23.65	8.05	2.52	1.44	1.8	0.92	0.53
Away	165	23.86	7.84	2.51	1.37	1.85	0.79	0.4
Home − Away	—	-0.2	+0.2	+0.0	+0.1	-0.1	+0.1	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

319 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	2	1.4	high
minutes	16	24.9	31.4	23.76	medium
points	3	7	12	7.94	high
rebounds	1	2	4	2.51	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

319 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2023–24

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2024-04-14	@ MEM	19	15.31	+24.1%	3	1/5	0/0	1/5	0/0	0	1	1	3	1	0	1	1	-7.0	30%
2024-04-12	@ SAS	15	16.24	-7.6%	8	3/7	1/1	2/6	0/0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	1	+3.0	57%
2024-04-10	vs MIN	8	17.73	-54.9%	3	1/1	0/0	1/1	0/0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	+9.0	150%
2024-04-09	@ UTA	18	17.42	+3.3%	6	2/5	0/1	2/4	0/0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	-5.0	60%
2024-04-06	vs ATL	24	15.21	+57.8%	8	3/3	1/1	2/2	0/0	0	0	0	6	1	0	1	2	+17.0	133%
2024-04-04	@ LAC	9	17.3	-48%	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	-5.0	0%
2024-04-02	vs SAS	23	15.82	+45.4%	5	2/6	1/4	1/2	0/0	1	2	3	1	1	2	0	0	+9.0	42%
2024-03-31	vs CLE	20	14.16	+41.2%	7	3/7	2/4	1/3	0/0	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	-1.0	50%
2024-03-29	vs MIN	16	14.71	+8.8%	5	2/5	1/1	1/4	0/0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	-3.0	50%
2024-03-27	vs PHX	10	14.53	-31.2%	0	0/2	0/0	0/2	0/0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	-10.0	0%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2023–24

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/56 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/56 games

5+ ASSISTS5.4%3/56 games

2+ THREES32.1%18/56 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2023–24	DEN	56	15.4	4.2	1.3	1.2	45.4%	40.4%	75.0%
2022–23	DAL ATL	46	15.3	4.5	1.2	0.9	37.8%	32.2%	62.5%
2021–22	IND SAC	74	27.8	10.1	2.6	1.7	39.4%	36.7%	80.7%
2020–21	IND	72	30.3	10.5	3.6	1.7	41.3%	38.2%	78.8%
2019–20	IND	71	25.0	8.3	3.2	1.3	43.4%	41.3%	78.1%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2023–24	DEN	70	37.4	#298 / 409	7.7M	Depth
2022–23	DAL	46	24.1	#402 / 408	5.4M	Depth
2021–22	SAC	74	32.3	#370 / 423	7.9M	Depth
2020–21	IND	74	38.2	#296 / 410	10.5M	Rotation
2019–20	IND	75	42.1	#194 / 385	13.5M	Rotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2023–24

#298 OF 409

AF-PLAYER37.4descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#298of 409 ranked

PH$7.7MDepth

SAMPLE70observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2023–24

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

DEN

Denver Nuggets

EXPECTED MIN10.7

SCORING SHARE3.3%

CREATION SHARE3.2%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR66.3%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.