Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Jeff Dowtin
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER47.52024–25
NBA RANK#164of 422
PH$10.6MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2024–25
MIN12.9
PTS5.3
REB1.4
AST1.7
STL0.5
BLK0.2
3PM0.6
FG%48.6%
3P%42.2%
FT%69.0%
+/--2.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED20.96pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G3.4 PTS · 0.8 REB · 0.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G2.83 PTS · 0.67 REB · 0.5 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS46.8%124/265
2-POINT51.1%90/176
3-POINT38.2%34/89
FREE THROW70.5%31/44
EFFECTIVE FG%53.2%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.0%
AST / TO5.43
PTS PER 3611.9rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 42 | 11.11 | 3.6 | 1.12 | 1.33 | 0.4 | 0.52 | 0.1 |
| Away | 38 | 12.64 | 4.26 | 1.61 | 1.82 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.5 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.56 | high |
| minutes | 4 | 11.5 | 19 | 11.84 | high |
| points | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3.91 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.35 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2024–25
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-23 | @ ATL | 26 | 17.44 | +49.1% | 17 | 7/11 | 6/9 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -13.0 | 69% |
| 2025-03-12 | @ TOR | 27 | 15.1 | +78.8% | 20 | 9/14 | 7/10 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 | 71% |
| 2025-03-10 | @ ATL | 28 | 12.75 | +119.6% | 17 | 6/9 | 2/3 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10.0 | 90% |
| 2025-03-09 | vs UTA | 12 | 10.94 | +9.7% | 10 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +10.0 | 100% |
| 2025-03-06 | @ BOS | 18 | 9.28 | +93.9% | 10 | 4/6 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 | 83% |
| 2025-03-04 | @ MIN | 11 | 7.7 | +42.9% | 5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5/8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.0 | 71% |
| 2025-03-03 | vs POR | 19 | 5.24 | +262.4% | 11 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1.0 | 61% |
| 2025-03-01 | vs GSW | 14 | 4.99 | +180.8% | 5 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12.0 | 83% |
| 2025-02-24 | vs CHI | 9 | 3.61 | +149.6% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.0 | 0% |
| 2025-02-20 | vs BOS | 5 | 2.97 | +68.3% | 2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 | 100% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS2.9%1/34 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/34 games
5+ ASSISTS8.8%3/34 games
2+ THREES14.7%5/34 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
AF-PLAYER47.5descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#164of 422 ranked
PH$10.6MRotation
SAMPLE34observed games
Ball security87
Box defence38
Creation65
Efficiency49
Rebounding18
Scoring39
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
EXPECTED MIN5.7
SCORING SHARE2.9%
CREATION SHARE5.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR49.7%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.