Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jay Huff
Indiana Pacers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER46.92025–26
NBA RANK#146of 409
PH$13.5MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN13.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ New Orleans Pelicans2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN20.1
PTS9.2
REB4.1
AST1.2
STL0.4
BLK2.1
3PM1.6
FG%47.7%
3P%33.9%
FT%78.7%
+/--1.5
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Indiana Pacers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED22.29pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G1.6 PTS · 2 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8.8 PTS · 4.6 REB · 2.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G3.5 PTS · 2.4 REB · 0.7 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G9.7 PTS · 4.6 REB · 1.6 AST
creation↑
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS49.8%359/721
2-POINT72.9%188/258
3-POINT36.9%171/463
FREE THROW80.7%109/135
EFFECTIVE FG%61.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%63.9%
AST / TO1.39
PTS PER 3618.21rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 80 | 13.32 | 6.99 | 2.55 | 0.79 | 1.14 | 0.3 | 1.15 |
| Away | 66 | 13.75 | 6.65 | 2.71 | 0.79 | 1.21 | 0.3 | 1.23 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.4 | +0.3 | -0.2 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.79 | high |
| minutes | 3.1 | 14 | 22 | 13.52 | high |
| points | 0 | 6 | 12 | 6.84 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2.62 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 24 | 22.26 | +7.8% | 8 | 3/9 | 1/1 | 2/8 | 0/0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -13.0 | 44% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIA | 16 | 22.9 | -30.1% | 6 | 3/5 | 3/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +17.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAC | 20 | 23.52 | -15% | 3 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.0 | 31% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs LAL | 32 | 22.45 | +42.5% | 18 | 7/10 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +6.0 | 83% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ ORL | 28 | 20.76 | +34.9% | 7 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +11.0 | 72% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ SAS | 18 | 19.78 | -9% | 6 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-18 | vs POR | 21 | 19.58 | +7.2% | 11 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 1/4 | 2/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-13 | vs NYK | 16 | 23.54 | -32% | 9 | 3/7 | 1/1 | 2/6 | 1/1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +6.0 | 61% |
| 2026-03-08 | @ POR | 22 | 24.02 | -8.4% | 16 | 5/15 | 2/5 | 3/10 | 3/5 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 | 47% |
| 2026-03-06 | @ LAL | 33 | 19.24 | +71.5% | 16 | 6/13 | 4/7 | 2/6 | 2/2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 | 58% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS7.5%4/53 games
10+ REBOUNDS5.7%3/53 games
5+ ASSISTS1.9%1/53 games
2+ THREES45.3%24/53 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | IND | 53 | 46.9 | #146 / 409 | 13.5M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | MEM | 66 | 55.4 | #57 / 422 | 17.1M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER46.9descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#146of 409 ranked
PH$13.5MRotation
SAMPLE53observed games
Ball security61
Box defence53
Creation22
Efficiency59
Rebounding41
Scoring43
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+39.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-22.2 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-7.1 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
IND
Indiana Pacers
EXPECTED MIN18.9
SCORING SHARE7.9%
CREATION SHARE4.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR86.7%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.